An NFC East battle is on tap between the Washington Commanders and the Dallas Cowboys at 4:25 p.m. ET on Sunday at FedEx Field. Washington is 7-8-1 overall and 3-5 at home, while Dallas is 12-4 overall and 4-3 on the road. The Cowboys are ranked second in the NFC East; Washington is ranked fourth. The Commanders have been eliminated from postseason contention, while the Cowboys can climb as high as the No. 1 or No. 2 seed depending on what the teams in front of them do in Week 18.

Dallas is favored by 7 points in the latest Commanders vs. Cowboys odds from Caesars Sportsbook, and the over/under is set at 40.5. Before you make any Cowboys vs. Commanders picks and predictions, you'll want to see what the SportsLine Projection Model is saying.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 18 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 160-113 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 14-6 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of this season. The model ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is WAY UP!

Now, it has simulated Commanders vs. Cowboys 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 50% of simulations. You absolutely need to see it before locking in your own picks.

So who wins Commanders vs. Cowboys? And which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Join SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has crushed its NFL picks.