CFB: SEC Week 12 Projected Final Scores Revealed

Week 12 of the SEC is like the calm between two storms.

One has already passed through and left things a little shaken. Next time, things might really get mixed up.

The top four teams in the conference faced off on Saturday, and it shook up the national landscape.

Georgia, No. 1 in the College Football Playoff rankings, was throttled 40-17 at No. 10 Auburn. That move will cause major ripples in the race for the four coveted playoff berths.

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Alabama then had to rally to survive at Mississippi State, 31-24. What that does to the standing of the Crimson Tide remains to be seen. 

Alabama and Auburn, teams on an Iron Bowl collision course in two weeks with SEC title and College Football Playoff implications, play in non-conference games this weekend.

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With a SEC championship berth already sewn up, Georgia isn’t completely out of the playoff picture. The Bulldogs, assuming they take care of Kentucky on Saturday and Georgia Tech after that, will get the Auburn/Alabama winner for the conference title.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulated college football games 10,000 times and came up with final scores and projected player statistics.

Below are the matchups for Week 12 of the SEC, with projected final scores and statistics. Only games including two FBS teams are included. Projections are updated every 10 minutes.

Saturday, Nov. 18

MISSISSIPPI STATE AT ARKANSAS, NOON ET

SportsLine Projection Model’s score: Mississippi State 33, Arkansas 24

Vegas line: The Bulldogs are at -11.5 on the road (O/U 59)

Projected Statistics: Nick Fitzgerald throws for 220 yards, 1.91 TDs and 1.05 INTs and runs for 88 yards and Aeris Williams adds 87 yards for the Bulldogs. Austin Allen passes for 271 yards and Jonathan Nance catches 4.2 passes for 83 yards for the Razorbacks.

LOUISIANA-MONROE AT AUBURN, NOON ET

SportsLine Projection Model’s score: Auburn 60, ULM 18

Vegas line: The Tigers are favored by 36.5 points (O/U 68)

Projected Statistics: Jarrett Stidham throws for 255 yards and 2.74 TDs with Kerryon Johnson runs for 138 yards and 1.87 YDs for Auburn. Caleb Evans passes for 183 yards for ULM.  

KENTUCKY AT GEORGIA, 3:30 P.M. ET

SportsLine Projection Model’s score: Georgia 36, Kentucky 18

Vegas line: The Bulldogs are a 21.5-point favorite (O/U 50.5)

Projected Statistics: Jake Fromm throws for 243 yards and 1.98 TDs and Nick Chubb runs for 91 yards to lead the Bulldogs. Benjamin Snell runs for 85 yards for the Wildcats.  

UAB AT FLORIDA, 4 P.M. ET

SportsLine Projection Model’s score: Florida 30, UAB 22

Vegas line: The Gators are favored by 10.5 at home (O/U 48)

Projected Statistics: Lamical Perine runs for 84 yards for Florida, while Tyrie Cleveland has 59 yards of receiving. A.J. Erdley throws for 156 yards for the Blazers.  

LSU AT TENNESSEE, 7 P.M. ET

SportsLine Projection Model’s score: LSU 24, Tennessee 16

Vegas line: The Tigers are favored by 15.5 on the road (O/U 46)

Projected Statistics: Danny Etling passes for 204 yards and 1.30 TDs and Derrius Guice runs for 93 more for the Tigers, while John Kelly goes for 53 yards on the ground for the Vols.

TEXAS A&M AT MISSISSIPPI, 7 P.M. ET

SportsLine Projection Model’s score: Texas A&M 34, Ole Miss 27

Vegas line: The Rebels are favored by 3 at home (O/U 69.5)

Projected Statistics: Trayveon Williams runs for 79 yards to lead the Aggies. Jordan Ta’amu throws for 305 yards, 1.91 TDs and 1.37 INTs, with A.J. Brown catching 6.2 passes for 91 yards for the Rebels.  

MISSOURI AT VANDERBILT, 7:30 P.M. ET

SportsLine Projection Model’s score: Missouri 29, Vanderbilt 25

Vegas line: The Commodores are an 8.5-point home underdog (O/U 67)

Projected Statistics: Drew Lock goes for 307 yards and 2.42 TDs passing with Ish Witter running for 75-plus yards. Kyle Shurmur throws for 199 yards and Ralph Webb runs for 85 more for Vandy.  

So who should you pick in every Week 12 college football game? Join SportsLine now to get every pick from the model that had double-digit profitable weeks last season, plus find out which team's playoff hopes end this weekend.