CFB: SEC Week 11 Projected Final Scores Revealed

For all the talk about how great Alabama and Georgia are, how the top two teams in the College Football Playoff rankings are on a collision course for the SEC title game and perhaps a rematch after that, there’s one team that has the opportunity and the horses to blow it all up.

Auburn, ranked No. 14 thanks to a pair of narrow losses, hosts the No. 1 Bulldogs on Saturday, and ends its regular season on Nov. 25 by hosting the No. 2 Crimson Tide.

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Winning both of those games puts Auburn in the SEC title game over Alabama, and a win there over Georgia perhaps gives the Tigers the opportunity to be in the CFP as a two-loss team. The two losses, 14-6 at Clemson and 27-23 at LSU, certainly aren’t embarrassing.

Alabama has its own issues to work out, first. The Tide are banged up on the defensive side, losing a pair of linebackers -- after having already lost their top two LBs in their season opener.

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The Tide were outgained by LSU on Saturday but still won 24-10. Playing at bell-ringing, 16th-ranked Mississippi State on Saturday under the lights is no gimme.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulated college football games 10,000 times and came up with final scores and projected player statistics. 

Below are the matchups for Week 11 of the SEC, with projected final scores and statistics. Projections are updated every 10 minutes.

Saturday, Nov. 11

FLORIDA AT SOUTH CAROLINA, NOON ET

SportsLine Projection Model’s score: South Carolina 26, Florida 13

Vegas line: South Carolina is favored by 7.5 points (O/U 45.5)

Projected Statistics: Jake Bentley passes for 223 yards, 1.51 TDs and 1.20 INTs for the Gamecocks. Malik Zaire goes for 169 yards passing to lead the Gators.

ARKANSAS AT LSU, NOON ET

SportsLine Projection Model’s score: LSU 31, Arkansas 20

Vegas line: LSU is a 17-point home favorite (O/U 55)

Projected Statistics: LSU’s Danny Etling passes for 227 yards and 1.72 TDs while Derrius Guice runs for 83 yards. For Arkansas, Austin Allen goes for 204 yards, 1.32 TDs and 1.25 INTs and Jonathan Nance catches 4.3 passes for 75 yards.

UL-LAFAYETTE AT MISSISSIPPI, NOON ET

SportsLine Projection Model’s score: Ole Miss 43, UL-Lafayette 24

Vegas line: The Rebels are a 20-point home favorite (O/U 66.5)

Projected Statistics: Jordan Ta’amu goes off for 411 yards passing, 3.04 TDs and 1.32 INTs with A.J. Brown’s 5.4 catches for 109 yards for Ole Miss. Levi Lewis passes for 204 yards and runs for 80 more for ULL.

GEORGIA AT AUBURN, 3:30 P.M. ET

SportsLine Projection Model’s score: Auburn 25, Georgia 24

Vegas line: The game opened at Pick ‘em, but Georgia is now at -2.5 (O/U 47)

Projected Statistics: Jarrett Stidham passes for 185 yards and 1.13 TDs and Kerryon Johnson runs 21.8 times for 88 yards for Auburn. Jake Fromm throws for 186 yards and 1.24 TDs and Nick Chubb runs for 84 yards for Georgia.

KENTUCKY AT VANDERBILT, 4 P.M. ET

SportsLine Projection Model’s score: Kentucky 24, Vanderbilt 23

Vegas line: The Commodores are favored by 2.5 points (O/U 53)

Projected Statistics: Stephen Johnson throws for 174 yards while Benny Snell runs for 116 yards and 1.00 TDs for the Wildcats. Kyle Shurmur passes for 193 yards and 1.32 TDs for Vandy.

ALABAMA AT MISSISSIPPI STATE, 7 P.M. ET

SportsLine Projection Model’s score: Alabama 36, Mississippi State 13

Vegas line: The Crimson Tide is favored by 14 points (O/U 51)

Projected Statistics: Jalen Hurts goes for 241 yards and 1.65 TDs, with Bo Scarbrough and Damien Harris each running for 80-plus yards for the Tide. Nick Fitzgerald throws for 132 yards and runs for 57 more to lead the Bulldogs.

NEW MEXICO AT TEXAS A&M, 7 P.M. ET

SportsLine Projection Model’s score: Texas A&M 42, New Mexico 18

Vegas line: The Aggies are a 19-point home favorite in the non-conference game (O/U 51.5)

Projected Statistics: Kellen Mond throws for 189 yards and 1.82 TDs and Trayveon Williams runs for 82 for the Aggies. Tyrone Owens runs for 71 yards to lead the Lobos.

TENNESSEE AT MISSOURI, 7:30 P.M. ET

SportsLine Projection Model’s score: Missouri 29, Tennessee 25

Vegas line: The Tigers opened at -7.5, with the line now at -11 (O/U 61.5)

Projected Statistics: Drew Lock passes for 294 yards, 2.36 TDs and 1.27 INTs and Ish Witter runs for 117 yards for Mizzou. Jarrett Guarantano goes for 209 yards passing and John Kelly runs for 90 yards for the Vols.

So who should you pick in every Week 11 college football game? Join SportsLine now to get every pick from the model that had double-digit profitable weeks last season, plus find out which Top-15 teams' playoff hopes end this weekend.