CFB: Big Ten Week 11 Projected Final Scores Revealed

Wisconsin is an undefeated Big Ten team, ranked No. 5 in the polls, rolling over any team in its way.

But if the College Football Playoff were to start this week, the Badgers wouldn’t be a part of it. In fact, they’re not really that close to the door.

When it comes to the College Football Playoff, the Big Ten is on the outside looking in, with the top two contenders each knocked off. Wisconsin may be the only hope left for the Big Ten, but the unbeaten can’t get respect thanks mostly to a creampuff schedule.

CBS SPORTS: THE BIG TEN HAS DIVISIONAL PROBLEMS

Wisconsin is ranked No. 8 in the latest playoff ranking, best in the Big Ten after Penn State and Ohio State took losses in the last two weeks.

That doesn’t help the Badgers, whose most impressive win thus far is a win over now-No. 25 Northwestern.

CBS SPORTS: PROJECTIONS FOR WEEK 11 OF THE ACC

If they win out, with games against No. 20 Iowa, Michigan and Minnesota, is that enough? What about a Big Ten Championship game victory over Michigan State, which at this point is how thing would unfold?

The Spartans, who before the season started seemed like the No. 4 in a three-team Big Ten East race between Ohio State, Michigan and Penn State, knocked off the Nittany Lions last Saturday and is 5-1 in the conference.

While Wisconsin has a firm grip on the West, the East will almost surely be decided on Saturday when the No. 12 Spartans travel to Columbus to play the No. 13 Buckeyes, also 5-1 in league play. 

OSU has to feel happy to be included in any title talk after getting thrashed 55-24 at Iowa last week. Can it rebound and win the Big Ten? The journey starts Saturday.

As far as the national title picture goes, those dominoes have yet to fall.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulated college football games 10,000 times and came up with final scores and projected player statistics.

Below are the matchups for Week 11 of the Big Ten, with projected final scores and statistics. Projections are updated every 10 minutes.

Saturday, Nov. 4

RUTGERS AT PENN STATE, NOON ET

SportsLine Projection Model’s score: Penn State 42, Rutgers 7

Vegas line: The Nittany Lions are favored by 31 points in Happy Valley (O/U 52.5)

Projected Statistics: Trace McSorley throws for 268 yards and 2.25 TDs and Saquon Barkley runs 18.6 times for 113 yards and 1.01 TDs for PSU. Giovanni Rescigno passes for 113 yards for Rutgers.

MICHIGAN STATE AT OHIO STATE, NOON ET

SportsLine Projection Model’s score: Ohio State 34, Michigan State 12

Vegas line: The Buckeyes are a 14.5-point favorite (O/U 55)

Projected Statistics: J.T. Barrett throws for 281 yards and 2.35 TDs and runs for 50 more for OSU. Brian Lewerke passes for 169 yards for MSU.

INDIANA AT ILLINOIS, NOON ET

SportsLine Projection Model’s score: Indiana 31, Illinois 21

Vegas line: The Illini are a 9-point home underdog (O/U 49)

Projected Statistics: Richard Lagow passes for 295 yards, 2.19 TDs and 1.57 INTs for Indiana, with Simmie Cobbs Jr. catching 6.3 passes for 86 yards. Cam Thomas throws for 175 yards for Illinois.

NEBRASKA AT MINNESOTA, NOON ET

SportsLine Projection Model’s score: Minnesota 33, Nebraska 23

Vegas line: Minnesota is favored by 2.5 points at home (O/U 47.5)

Projected Statistics: Demry Croft passes for 168 yards and Rodney Smith runs for 112 yards for the Gophers. Tanner Lee throws for 254 yards and Devin Ozigbo runs for 81 more for the Huskers.

MICHIGAN AT MARYLAND, 3:30 P.M. ET

SportsLine Projection Model’s score: Michigan 32, Maryland 17

Vegas line: The Wolverines opened at -13.5, but have moved to -16.5 (O/U 45.5)

Projected Statistics: Brandon Peters throws for 192 yards with Karan Higdon and Ty Isaac each rushing for 78-plus for Michigan. Maryland’s Max Bortenschlager passes for 128 yards.

IOWA AT WISCONSIN, 3:30 P.M. ET

SportsLine Projection Model’s score: Wisconsin 23, Iowa 19

Vegas line: The Badgers are favored by 12.5 points (O/U 46)

Projected Statistics: Alex Hornibrook throws for 168 yards, 1.11 TDs and 1.69 INTs and Jonathan Taylor runs for 125 yards for Wisconsin. Nathan Stanley goes for 187 yards, 1.26 TDs and 1.22 INTs for Iowa.

PURDUE AT NORTHWESTERN, 7 P.M. ET

SportsLine Projection Model’s score: Northwestern 29, Purdue 18

Vegas line: The Wildcats are at -6 (O/U 47)

Projected Statistics: Clayton Thorson throws for 287 yards, 1.71 TDs and 1.29 INTs and Justin Jackson runs for 73 yards for Northwestern. For Purdue, Elijah Sindelar passes for 245 yards, 1.31 TDs and 1.51 INTs.

So who should you pick in every Week 11 college football game? Join SportsLine now to get every pick from the model that had double-digit profitable weeks last season, plus find out which Top-15 teams' playoff hopes end this weekend.