The No. 1 seed Boston Celtics and the No. 6 seed Indiana Pacers square off in Game 4 of the Eastern Conference Finals on Monday at 8 p.m. ET. In Game 3, Boston defeated Indiana 114-111. SportsLine consensus lists Boston as the 7.5-point favorite, while the over/under for total points scored is 223.5 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NBA odds page). 

Before you make any Celtics vs. Pacers picks, you NEED to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past five-plus seasons. The model entered the conference finals in the 2024 NBA playoffs on a sizzling 94-61 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning more than $2,800. Anyone following has seen HUGE returns!

The model knows Boston forward Jayson Tatum is an impactful playmaker and scorer in the frontcourt. Tatum has a quick first step but owns a nice jumper to space the floor. The five-time All-Star ranks first on the team in points (26), rebounds (10.2) and assists (5.8). In his last outing, Tatum had 36 points, 10 rebounds and eight assists.

The model also knows Indiana forward Pascal Siakam has a strong offensive gameplan. Siakam owns a reliable mid-range shot but can finish with either hand in the rim. The 30-year-old puts up 21.8 points and 7.4 rebounds per game in the 2024 NBA playoffs. In Game 2, Siakam finished with 28 points and five rebounds.

The model has simulated Celtics vs. Pacers 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Under on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations!

Who wins Celtics vs. Pacers, and which side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the spread you should be all over, all from the model on a 94-61 roll on top-rated NBA picks!