The Milwaukee Bucks will try to even their best-of-seven Eastern Conference first-round series with the Miami Heat at 2-2 when they meet in Game 4 Monday at Kaseya Center in Miami. The Bucks (58-24), the top seed in the conference, finished with the best record in the East for the third time in five years. They are looking to avoid a first-round exit. The last time Milwaukee lost in the opening round was in 2017-2018. The Heat (44-38), the eighth seed, have not been eliminated in the first round since 2020-2021, when they were swept in four games by the Bucks.

The game will tip off at 7:30 p.m. ET. Milwaukee is a 7.5-point favorite at Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is 218.5 according to the latest Bucks vs. Heat odds from Caesars Sportsbook. Before making any Bucks vs. Heat picks, you NEED to check out the NBA predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model enters the third week of the 2023 NBA playoffs a stunning 71-38 on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning nearly $2,800. Anyone following it has seen HUGE returns!

The model knows that Khris Middleton is capable of carrying the load for Milwaukee as he's coming off a 23-point, six-assist and five-rebound effort in Saturday's Game 3 loss. He scored a team-high 33 points, while grabbing nine rebounds and dishing out four assists in the opener. Although missing a good portion of the early regular-season schedule due to injury, Middleton played in 33 games and averaged 15.1 points, 4.9 assists and 4.2 rebounds.

The model also knows Miami continues to dominate Milwaukee in the postseason as the Heat have won two of the three previous playoff meetings with the Bucks, including in the 2020 Eastern Conference semifinals. Center Bam Adebayo is coming off a double-double in Game 3, scoring 12 points and grabbing 11 rebounds, while chipping in five assists, two steals and one block. He scored 22 points, grabbed nine boards and had seven assists in the series opener.

Now, it has set its sights on Bucks vs. Heat. We can tell you the model is leaning Over on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NBA picks.

So who wins Bucks vs. Heat in the NBA Playoffs 2023? And which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Join SportsLine now to find out, all from the model that's 71-38 on top-rated NBA picks against the spread!