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Buccaneers vs. Lions line, picks: Advanced NFL computer model releases selections for NFC Divisional Round showdown

SportsLine's projection model generated selections for Sunday's matchup between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the Detroit Lions

Baker Mayfield and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers will face Jared Goff and the Detroit Lions in an NFC Divisional Round matchup at 3 p.m. ET on Sunday. The SportsLine Consensus lists the Lions as six-point favorites, while the over/under is 49.5. The Lions are -273 favorites on the money line, while the Buccaneers are +219 underdogs. Before making any Buccaneers vs. Lions picks, you NEED to check out the NFL predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model..

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs on an incredible 183-129 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 37-21 roll on top-rated picks since Week 7 of last season and nailed seven straight top-rated picks entering the 2024 NFL playoffs. 

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is WAY UP!

The model knows the Buccaneers excelled in a Wild Card win over the Philadelphia Eagles. Tampa Bay won the game by 23 points, the team's largest margin of victory since 2021. Baker Mayfield threw for 337 yards and three touchdowns without throwing an interception, and the Buccaneers held the Eagles to only 42 rushing yards, the fewest for Philadelphia since 2018.

The model also knows Detroit finished the regular season in the top five in scoring offense, averaging 27.1 points per game. The Lions averaged more than 2.4 points per possession and became only the second team in league history to have four players score at least 10 touchdowns.

Now, it has set its sights on Buccaneers vs. Lions. We can tell you the model is leaning Under the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NFL picks.

Who wins Buccaneers vs. Lions? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Buccaneers vs. Lions spread you should be all over Sunday, all from the model on a 183-129 roll on NFL picks!

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SportsLine Staff
SportsLine Staff

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