The Tampa Bay Buccaneers host the Washington Commanders in a cross-division NFC matchup on the NFL Week 1 schedule. Tampa Bay won the NFC South with a 9-8 overall record in 2023, and defeated the Philadelphia Eagles in the Wild Card round of the NFC Playoffs before ultimately losing to the Detroit Lions in the Divisional round. The Commanders went 4-13 in 2023, and are set to usher in a new era under head coach Dan Quinn. Washington will be led by rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels, the No. 2 overall pick in the 2024 NFL Draft. 

Kickoff is scheduled at 4:25 p.m. ET on Sunday at Raymond James Stadium. The Buccaneers are favored by 3.5 points in the latest Buccaneers vs. Commanders odds via SportsLine consensus, and the over/under is 42.5 points. Before locking in any Buccaneers vs. Commanders picks, you'll want to see the NFL predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 1 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 181-129 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 35-21 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022. The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is WAY UP!

The model has simulated Buccaneers vs. Commanders 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over on the point total, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that hits in well over 60% of computer simulations. You can only see the model's pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Buccaneers vs. Commanders, and which side of the spread is a must-back? Join SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has crushed its NFL picks.