Two NFC teams on losing streaks will get a chance to turn their season around when the Chicago Bears host the Washington Commanders on Thursday Night Football. The Bears (2-3) have lost back-to-back games and sit in third place in the NFC North. The Commanders (1-4) have lost four in a row since beating Jacksonville in Week 1 and occupy the basement in the NFC East.

Kickoff is at 8:15 p.m. ET. Caesars Sportsbook lists the game as a pick'em in the latest Commanders vs. Bears odds, while the over/under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 37.5.

Before you make any Bears vs. Commanders picks or Week 6 predictions, you need to see the NFL best bets and analysis from SportsLine expert Mike Tierney.

A veteran sportswriter whose work appears periodically in The New York Times and Los Angeles Times, Mike Tierney has covered the NFL for decades and reported from seven Super Bowls. He entered the 2022 NFL season 232-204-10 against-the-spread since the start of the 2018 season.

In addition, he is 28-14-1 on his last 43 picks involving the Commanders, returning $1,253. Anyone who has followed him is way up.

Tierney knows that Washington quarterback Carson Wentz is a perfect 6-0 on Thursday Night Football, which is the best winning percentage of any quarterback with at least five Thursday night starts since 2000. Overall in primetime games, Wentz is 16-8 in his career.

Tierney also has factored in that Chicago faces a Washington team that has struggled against running quarterbacks. Since Ron Rivera took over as coach before the 2020 season, the Commanders have allowed 881 rushing yards to quarterbacks. That's the most in the NFL over that time frame and bodes well for the Bears' Justin Fields, who has 614 rushing yards in his career, the fourth most by a quarterback in that span.

Now, Tierney has locked in another confident ATS pick for Bears vs. Commanders on Thursday Night Football. We can tell you he's leaning Over the total, but he knows a crucial X-factor makes one side of the spread a MUST-BACK! You ABSOLUTELY need to see what it is before locking in any picks of your own.

Who will win Bears vs. Commanders on Thursday Night Football? And what crucial X-factor makes one side of the spread hit HARD? Join SportsLine now to find out, all form the expert on a 28-14 run on picks involving the Commanders!