The Chicago Bears and the Washington Commanders square off in an NFC tilt on Thursday Night Football in Week 5. Kickoff is set for 8:15 p.m. ET. The Commanders are six-point favorites, while the over/under is 44.5. The Commanders are -270 favorites on the money line (risk $270 to win $100), while the Bears are +220 (risk $100 to win $220). Before you make any Bears vs. Commanders picks or any other NFL predictions, you NEED to see which side Larry Hartstein is on. 

A former lead writer for Covers and The Linemakers, Hartstein combines a vast network of Vegas sources with an analytical approach he honed working for Pro Football Focus. Larry tied for 52nd place (out of 1,598 entries) in the 2022 Westgate Las Vegas SuperContest, going 53-34-3 ATS. Those selections formed the basis of his SportsLine NFL best bets article, which finished 36-25-1.

In addition, Hartstein has a keen sense of what to expect from the Commanders and is 26-9-1 on his last 36 NFL picks involving Washington, returning a whopping $1,591! Anybody who has been following him is WAY UP.

Hartstein knows the Bears showed positive signs on offense last week. Chicago averaged 6.7 yards per play and scored 28 points, with quarterback Justin Fields setting new career-highs in passing yards and passing touchdowns. The Bears are also averaging 4.7 yards per carry this season.

Hartstein also knows Washington is playing at home and facing a vulnerable Chicago defense. The Bears have allowed at least 25 points in 14 straight games, the most in NFL history, and are giving up over 34 points per game. Washington is effective on the ground, averaging 4.5 yards per carry, and the Bears are dead-last in the league in third down defense. 

Now, Hartstein has locked in another confident against the spread pick for Bears vs. Commanders. We can tell you he's leaning Over the total, but he knows a crucial X-factor makes one side of the spread a MUST-BACK! You ABSOLUTELY need to see what it is before locking in any picks of your own.

Who wins Bears vs. Commanders on Thursday Night Football? And what critical X-factor makes one side of the spread a must-back? ... Join SportsLine right now to see which side of the Bears vs. Commanders spread to jump on, all from the expert who's an outstanding 26-9 on Commanders picks!