The second round of the 2023 Sun Belt Tournament has the Arkansas State Red Wolves (13-19) going up against the Troy Trojans (19-12) in Pensacola, Fla., on Thursday afternoon at 3 p.m. ET. The Trojans are favored by 8.5 points at Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is set at 134.5 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our college basketball odds page). 

Before making any Arkansas State vs. Troy picks, you NEED to check out the college basketball predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. The model enters Week 17 of the season 76-46 on all-top rated college basketball picks this season, returning more than $1,600 for $100 players. Anybody who has followed it has seen HUGE returns. 

The model knows Arkansas State senior forward Omar El-Sheikh has been a stout and powerful player in the frontcourt. El-Sheikh has a nose for the ball, constantly pulling down boards and hovering around the rim. The native of Egypt is third in the Sun Belt in rebounds (9.7) with 11.5 points per game. On Feb. 22, he totaled 18 points and 13 rebounds.

The model also knows Troy senior forward Zay Williams is an energetic and active force on the floor. Williams can soar to the rack and will be aggressive when fighting for boards. The Alabama native leads the squad in both points (12.1) and rebounds (7). He logged 13 points and seven rebounds in his last outing.

Now, the model has set its sights on Arkansas State vs. Troy. It is leaning Over on the total and it also says one side of the spread hits almost 60% of the time! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any college basketball picks.

So who wins Arkansas State vs. Troy? And which side of the spread hits almost 60% of the time? Join SportsLine now to find out, all from the model that has crushed its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread!