76ers vs. Heat line, picks: Advanced computer NBA model releases selections for Christmas showdown
The Philadelphia 76ers visit the Miami Heat for a Christmas Day clash at 8 p.m. ET on Monday. For this game, SportsLine consensus lists the Heat as 3-point favorites, while the over/under is 226. Miami is the -151 favorite on the money line (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NBA odds page). Joel Embiid (ankle) has been ruled out for the Sixers, while Jimmy Butler (calf) is questionable for Miami.
Before making any 76ers vs. Heat picks, you NEED to check out the NBA predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past five-plus seasons. The model enters Week 9 of the 2023-24 NBA season on a sizzling 101-52 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, returning well over $4,000. Anyone following it has seen HUGE returns!
The model knows Philadelphia's offense is dominant this season. The 76ers are No. 2 in the league in offensive efficiency, scoring 121.5 points per 100 possessions. Philadelphia leads the league in free throw creation, averaging 27.6 attempts per game, and the 76ers are converting more than 85% of free throw attempts. The 76ers are also in the top eight of the league in field goal percentage, 3-point percentage, turnover rate, offensive rebound rate and second-chance points.
The model also know Miami is incredibly well-coached. Erik Spoelstra is one of the best tacticians in the NBA, and the Heat are excellent on defense. The Heat secure more than 72% of available defensive rebounds and allow only 12.3 second-chance points per game. Opponents also create fewer than 21 free throw attempts per game against Miami this season.
Now, it has set its sights on 76ers vs. Heat. We can tell you the model is leaning Over the total, and it also says one side of the spread is the better value! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NBA picks.
Who wins 76ers vs. Heat on Christmas, and which side of the spread is the better value? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the 76ers vs. Heat spread you should be all over Monday, all from the model on a 101-52 roll on top-rated NBA picks!
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