Two teams I was high on coming into the season were the Jets and Browns. For both, I saw excellent rosters that had a chance to be Super Bowl contenders if Aaron Rodgers and Deshuan Watson could return from injury to be even league-average quarterbacks, which would pair above-average offenses with elite defenses to give each a chance to make some noise in January.

For the Jets, Rodgers certainly graded as elite to some over the first few weeks of the season, with PFF putting him in their top five or six during the first few weeks. He's now ranked 17th, but even early he didn't seem to be playing that well, with the Jets falling behind 26-7 against San Francisco, then keeping things short (176 yards on 30 attempts) against the Titans before an easy win over the Patriots. After the Jets offense has had no answer for the pressure brought by Denver and Minnesota the last two weeks, I thought it was fair to grade the Jets as an average team right now in my spread power ratings.

That was before the Jets fired Robert Saleh seemingly out of nowhere on Tuesday, but interim head coach Jeff Ulbrich is reportedly highly respected by the players, so it's possible the team sees a Antonio Pierce-like bounce following the firing if Saleh had lost the locker room. I don't know that it's going to do much to fix what's wrong the offense, but they'll get the chance to have success against a Bills defense that's struggling on Monday.

Then we have the Browns, a team that has gained at least half a yard per play less than every other team in the NFL. Their first seven drives against what's been a pretty poor Washington defense gained just 33 net yards, and they didn't have a drive last more than 29 yards until they were down 34-6 in the fourth quarter. They were 0-for-12 on third down before picking one up on the next to last play of the game. And what's supposed to be a good defense seems to pack it in once it realizes the offense is going to give them zero chance to win a game.

Even in the Browns' only win of the season, they gained 4.6 yards per play and gave up 5.9 yards per play without generating any turnovers; teams that have gained 4.7 y/p or fewer while giving up 5.8 y/p or more with no turnovers are 3-239 since the 2004 season. This should be an 0-5 team, one where everyone's jobs should be on the line -- including the reigning Coach of the Year and the quarterback with an unmovable contract -- if things don't get better immediately.

Lucky for them they're the biggest underdogs of Week 6, which has tended to mean an outright win in this wild and wacky 2024 NFL season. But until they prove they have any juice at all, I've moved them from an aggressively optimistic rating of three points better than average heading into the season to five points worse than average. That only rates them above the Raiders, Dolphins and Patriots, and I'm not sure I could take them on a neutral field against any of those teams, so maybe their rating should be even lower.

What are NFL spread power ratings? You can check out the explainer in how to build and maintain NFL power ratings in our Week 1 version of this column. Or, you can read on to see my ratings for every team and where I think the market is off this week. I went 636-534-34 (+4899) on ATS picks from 2017-23 and even better with my top five picks each week, going 428-327-25 (56.7%) from 2015-23 in the big Las Vegas spread picks contests. My power ratings have been a big part of maintaining that success. 

Which teams are being underrated by the betting market? And which spreads are the furthest off where they should be? ... Join SportsLine right now to see Week 6 NFL power ratings from the expert who's 636-534-34 on ATS picks from 2017-23, returning $4,899 to $100 players!