2024 NFL Week 3 betting power ratings: Adjusting Dolphins without Tua Tagovailoa and how to value all 32 teams
I learned a valuable lesson in Week 2, and that's not to back the Panthers with Bryce Young at quarterback, ever. It seems like Dave Canales has learned that lesson as well, benching Young two games into his sophomore season for soon-to-be 37-year-old Andy Dalton, who went 34 of 58 for 361 yards with two TDs and no interceptions while filling in for Young in one start against the Seahawks early last year. Young had a similar performance in just one of his 18 career starts, an out-of-nowhere great game against the Packers last year. Perhaps Young will get another opportunity if the Panthers fall out of the playoff race, but it's also possible he's played his last snap for Carolina, and you can certainly see him getting shopped prior to the trade deadline as well.
The Texans' domination of the Bears leading to only a six-point win was part of a frustrating Week 2 where some teams clearly outplayed the competition and still lost (the Ravens and Jaguars for sure, and you could certainly argue a few others), a game with 10 scores and one team never punting somehow couldn't get to 40 points, and supposed matchup advantages (hello, Dallas pass rush) turned out to be anything but.
The challenge is now separating the real from the fake to determine how much to adjust teams in our NFL spread power ratings, and that's before we get to another team losing its starting quarterback with Tua Tagovailoa presumably out for the foreseeable future.
What are NFL spread power ratings? You can check out the explainer in how to build and maintain NFL power ratings in our Week 1 version of this column. Or, you can read on to see my ratings for every team and where I think the market is off this week. I went 636-534-34 (+4899) on ATS picks from 2017-23 and even better with my top five picks each week, going 428-327-25 (56.7%) from 2015-23 in the big Las Vegas spread picks contests. My power ratings have been a big part of maintaining that success.Â
Which teams are being underrated by the betting market? And which spreads are the furthest off where they should be? ... Join SportsLine right now to see Week 3 NFL power ratings from the expert who's 636-534-34 on ATS picks from 2017-23, returning $4,899 to $100 players!Â
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