After a controversial race in Martinsville that saw teams and manufacturers blocking/slowing down to allow contending drivers to gain track position, the 2024 NASCAR Cup Series Championship field is set for Sunday at Phoenix Raceway. Ryan Blaney, Joey Logano, William Byron and Tyler Reddick made the final four and will battle for the chance to win the NASCAR championship on Sunday, with the green flag dropping at 3 p.m. ET. Martin Truex Jr. won the pole for the NASCAR Cup Series Championship race at Phoenix Raceway.

Blaney is the defending NASCAR Cup Series champion and he's the +200 favorite (risk $100 to win $200) in the NASCAR at Phoenix odds. He's followed in this week's 2024 NASCAR Cup Series Championship odds by Byron (+500), Logano (+500) and Christopher Bell (+850).

Before making any 2024 NASCAR at Phoenix predictions, you NEED to see the latest 2024 NASCAR Cup Series Championship picks from SportsLine's proven projection model.

Our proven projection model has simulated the 2024 NASCAR Cup Series Championship 10,000 times and come up with a surprising leaderboard. Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model takes into account a slew of factors including track history and recent results.

McClure's model called its first victory of the 2024 season with Larson winning again in Las Vegas for a 21-5 payout then predicted a Denny Hamlin's wins in Bristol at 5-1 and Richmond at 17-4. It impressively nailed five of Larson's wins during his historic season in 2021 too. All told, the model has nailed a whopping 18 winners since 2021 and hit nine last year alone! Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks saw HUGE returns.

Now, the model has dialed in on NASCAR at Phoenix 2024 and released its projections.

For the 2024 NASCAR Cup Series Championship, we can tell you the model is high on Ross Chastain at 20-1 in the latest 2024 NASCAR at Phoenix odds. He's a target for anyone looking for a HUGE payday. And a massive shocker: Bell, one of the Vegas favorites, stumbles big-time and fails to crack the top five! There are far better values in the 2024 NASCAR Phoenix starting lineup.

The model is also targeting two other drivers with odds of 16-1 or longer to make a serious run at the checkered flag! Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it BIG. You ABSOLUTELY need to see who they are before locking in any NASCAR picks.

So who wins the 2024 NASCAR Cup Series Championship, and which EPIC longshots are MUST-BACKS? ... Join SportsLine right now to see the full projected NASCAR at Phoenix leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed 18 winners, including three this year!