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2023 NCAA Tournament Florida Atlantic vs. Kansas State game line, odds: Advanced college basketball model releases pick for Elite Eight matchup

SportsLine's projection model generated selections for Saturday's Elite Eight matchup between the Florida Atlantic Owls and the Kansas State Wildcats

The East Region final of the 2023 NCAA Tournament is set with the Florida Atlantic Owls taking on the Kansas State Wildcats in New York at 6:09 p.m. ET on Saturday. Kansas State is favored by 1.5 points at Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is set at 144 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our college basketball odds page). 

Before making any Florida Atlantic vs. Kansas State picks, you NEED to check out the college basketball predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. The model enters the Sweet 16 round of the 2023 NCAA Tournament 83-54 on all-top rated college basketball picks this season, returning more than $1,500 for $100 players. It also went 4-1 on top-rated picks during the first week of March Madness. Anybody who has followed it has seen HUGE returns.

The model knows Florida Atlantic held Tennessee to 33% shooting in the Sweet 16, and the Owls are stout on defense. FAU is giving up fewer than 0.95 points per possession this season, and the Owls are in the top 20 of the country in allowing 40% shooting to opponents. The Owls also secure 74.5% of available defensive rebounds, and Florida Atlantic is No. 2 in the nation in assist rate allowed (34.2%). 

The model also knows Kansas State lit up the scoreboard in its last outing, making 56% of shots and 46% of 3-point attempts against Michigan State. The Wildcats also produced 26 assists and only five turnovers in that game, and Kansas State is averaging more than 17 assists per game to rank near the top of the country. Kansas State also makes 53% of 2-point shots for the season and shoots 75% at the free throw line on 20.9 attempts per contest.

Now, it has set its sights on Florida Atlantic vs. Kansas State. We can tell you the model is leaning Over the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in 60% of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any college basketball picks.

Who wins Florida Atlantic vs. Kansas State? And which side of the spread hits in 60% of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Florida Atlantic vs. Kansas State spread you should be all over Saturday, all from the model on a roll on college basketball picks!

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SportsLine Staff
SportsLine Staff

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