The 2023 NBA Finals shifts over to Kaseya Center when the Miami Heat host the Denver Nuggets in Game 3 on Wednesday night. These teams split the first two matchups, with Miami stealing a 111-108 road victory in Game 2. The Nuggets are favored by 3.5 points in the latest Nuggets vs. Heat odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is 213.

The game at Kaseya Center in Miami will tip off at 8:30 p.m. ET. Before making any Nuggets vs. Heat picks or any other NBA predictions, you need to see which side Matt Severance is on. 

Severance is a well-connected writer and handicapper who has worked in the industry since 2005. He is Sportsline's top NBA expert, entering this matchup with a sizzling 106-56-1 (+3489) roll on his picks! Anybody following him has seen HUGE returns.

Now, he has set his sights on Game 3 of Nuggets vs. Heat and locked in his picks.

Severance knows Miami guard Gabe Vincent is a smooth-scoring threat in the backcourt. Vincent has a reliable perimeter jumper and has the ability to create shots for himself. The 26-year-old is third on the team in scoring (13.9) with 3.9 assists per game. In the Game 2 win, Vincent scored a team-high 23 points, three assists and two steals. 

The expert also knows Denver center Nikola Jokic thrives in whatever he's asked to do. Jokic can score at will from anywhere on the floor while being dominant on the glass. He's leading the team in points (30.4), rebounds (12.9) and assists (10.1). On Sunday, Jokic finished with 41 points, 11 rebounds and four assists.

Now, Severance has locked in another confident against the spread pick for Nuggets vs. Heat. We can tell you he's leaning Under on the point total, but he knows a crucial X-factor makes one side of the spread a MUST-BACK! You ABSOLUTELY need to see what it is before locking in any picks of your own.

So who wins Nuggets vs. Heat, and which critical X-factor makes one side of the spread hit HARD? Join SportsLine now to get Matt Severance's Heat vs. Nuggets picks, all from the top NBA expert on a 106-56 roll!