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2023 Hero World Challenge odds, picks: Proven model reveals projected leaderboard, surprising PGA golf predictions

The SportsLine Projection Model simulated the 2023 Hero World Challenge 10,000 times and came up with a shocking leaderboard

Tiger Woods will once again play in his host event when the 2023 Hero World Challenge begins on Thursday at Albany Golf Course. There are no FedExCup points awarded at this tournament, but there are four previous FedExCup winners in the field. Viktor Hovland is the reigning FedExCup champion and he's also won the Hero World Challenge in each of the last two years. 

Hovland enters this week's event as the 4-1 favorite according to the latest 2023 Hero World Challenge odds. Some of the other names in the Hero World Challenge 2023 field include Scottie Scheffler (9-2), Max Homa (8-1) and Collin Morikawa (8-1). They are followed by Matt Fitzpatrick (16-1), Justin Thomas (16-1), Cameron Young (16-1) and Sam Burns (20-1) on the PGA odds board. 

We simulated the 2023 Hero World Challenge 10,000 times, and there are some MAJOR surprises. Join SportsLine here to see the model's shocking projected leaderboard.

Our proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June of 2020. In fact, the model is up more than $9,000 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.

McClure's model predicted Jon Rahm would finish on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express. And at the 2023 Masters, the model was all over Rahm's second career major victory heading into the weekend. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the third round, but the model still projected him as the winner. It was the second straight Masters win for the model, which also nailed Scottie Scheffler winning in 2022.

In addition, the model included Nick Taylor in its best bets to win the 2023 RBC Canadian Open. That bet hit at +7000, and for the entire tournament, McClure's best bets returned nearly $1,900. McClure's best bets also included Jason Day (17-1) winning outright at the 2023 AT&T Byron Nelson and Rickie Fowler (14-1) finishing on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Rocket Mortgage Classic.

This same model has also nailed a whopping 10 majors entering the weekend! Anyone who has followed it has seen MASSIVE returns!  Join SportsLine now to see the model's shocking Hero World Challenge picks from 10,000 simulations!

The 2023 Hero World Challenge is being played at Albany Golf Course, which is a par 72 stretching 7,449 yards. This is the eighth time the event is being played at the links-style Ernie Els design. There are five par 5s and five par 3s on a course that features windswept dunes measuring up to 30 feet high. Woods did not play in this event last year, but he went on to make PGA Tour starts at The Genesis Invitational and the Masters earlier this year. 

One major surprise the model is calling for at the Hero World Challenge 2023: Collin Morikawa, a two-time major champion and one of the top favorites, struggles this week and doesn't even crack the top five! Another surprise: Rickie Fowler, a 20-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. He has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. 

Also, the model is targeting TWO other golfers with odds of 20-1 or longer who will make surprising runs at the title! Anyone who backs these golfers could hit it BIG. You ABSOLUTELY need to see who they are before locking in any picks! 

So who wins the Hero World Challenge 2023, and which HUGE longshots make a serious run at the title? ... Join SportsLine right now to see who you can bank on to win, and see which longshots make a run at the title, all from the model that's nailed 10 majors, including this year's Masters and Open Championship! 

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Mike McClure
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