A date to play TCU in the 2023 NCAA Tournament will be on the line when two No. 11 seeds - the Arizona State Sun Devils and Nevada Wolf Pack - square off in a First Four matchup on Wednesday at the University of Dayton Arena in Dayton, Ohio. The Sun Devils (22-9) tied for fifth in the Pac-12 standings. Meanwhile the Wolf Pack (22-10) finished fourth in the Mountain West Conference. 

Tip-off is scheduled for 9:10 p.m. ET. The Sun Devils are favored by 2 points in the latest Arizona State vs. Nevada odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 135.5. 

Before making any Nevada vs. Arizona State picks or NCAA Tournament predictions, you need to check out the college basketball predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model. (See up-to-date odds for every game this week on our college basketball odds page.)

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Div. I college basketball game 10,000 times. The model entered conference tournament week 76-51 on all-top rated college basketball picks this season, returning nearly $1,200 for $100 players. Anybody who has followed the model has seen HUGE returns!

The model knows that Arizona State is one of the top defensive teams in the country. According to Kenpom.com, the Sun Devils give up just 95.2 points per 100 possessions, which ranks 28th in the country. They also allow opponents to shoot just 39.8% from the field, which is 15th in the nation.

But the model also has taken into account that Nevada is one of the best free throw shooting teams in Div. I. The Wolf Pack shoot 79.1% from the line, which ranks fourth in the country. They also make 17.2 free throws per game, which is ninth. That bodes well against an Arizona State team that commits 18.5 fouls per game, which ranks 294th in the nation.

For Wednesday, the model has set its sights on Arizona State vs. Nevada. We can tell you the model is leaning Over on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in well over 60% of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see the model before locking in any college basketball picks.

Who wins Arizona State vs. Nevada? And which side of the spread hits well over 60% of the time? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Nevada vs. Arizona State spread you should be all over Wednesday, all from the model on a roll on college basketball picks!