2023 BMW Championship picks, best bets: Scottie Scheffler predictions from golf model that nailed 10 majors
The 2023 FedExCup Playoffs continue on Thursday, Aug. 17, when the BMW Championship tees off from Olympia Fields Country Club near Chicago, Ill. There are just two events remaining in the PGA playoffs and the top three players in the world sit atop the FedEx Cup standings with Jon Rahm at No. 1, Scottie Scheffler at No. 2 and Rory McIlroy at No. 3. Scottie Scheffler is the world's No. 1 ranked golfer and currently 2nd in the FedExCup Standings heading into the PGA Tour's final two tournaments of the 2023 season. He has won twice in 2023, at the Waste Management Phoenix Open in February and THE PLAYERS Championship in March.
According to the latest 2023 BMW Championship odds, McIlroy is the 6-1 favorite, with Scheffler (7-1), Rahm (9-1), and Patrick Cantlay (10-1) next in line. Lucas Glover, the surprise winner at last week's FedEx St. Jude Championship, is a 35-1 longshot on the PGA odds board.
Scottie Scheffler's Recent Form
After his last two events, it might be fair to say that Scheffler isn't in peak form. After not having finished lower than tied for 12th in 2023, the Texas graduate followed up a T23 at The Open Championship with a T31 last week at the FedEx St. Jude Championship. Shockingly, last week's performance (+3.50) was the first time Scheffler recorded under nine Shots Gained: Tee to Green since February.
While his ball striking numbers have been other-worldly, Scheffler's putting leaves plenty to be desired. He lost 2.95 shots on the greens in Memphis, 4.79 at Royal Liverpool, and 2.21 at The Renaissance Club. In total, Scheffler has lost strokes on the greens in five of his last seven tournaments.
When he last played at Olympia Fields in 2020's BMW Championship, the world's top-ranked golfer finished tied for 20th place with solid ball striking numbers but again having struggled on the greens (-1.95 shots gained). Until he solves his putting woes, Scheffler will not provide good value at his low odds, most notably this week and next week. Tread carefully when placing outright bets on Scheffler despite the fact that he's had a fantastic 2023 season.
About Olympia Fields Country Club
Scheffler will be part of a strong contingent playing the 2023 BMW Championship. Olympia Fields (North Course) will host the star-studded tournament, which features the top-50 players in the FedEx Cup standings. The club has hosted four men's majors as well as the Women's PGA Championship in 2017.
The North Course features a plethora of hazards the players will have to avoid. In total, the layout features eight holes with water and 91 bunkers. Olympia Fields' North Course remains just one of 22 courses to be featured in every edition of Golf Digest's America's 100 Greatest rankings. The par-70 course will play at approximately 7,366 yards this week.
Rahm finished on top of the leaderboard the last time Olympia Fields hosted the BMW Championship (2020), but it's Cantlay who enters this week's event as the back-to-back champion. With his victory in 2022, Cantlay became the first player to win the BMW Championship back-to-back since the FedEx Cup began in 2007.
How will Scheffler fare at the BMW Championship 2023, and which HUGE longshots make a serious run at the title? ... Join SportsLine right now to see who you can bank on to win the 2023 BMW Championship, and see which longshots make a run at the title, all from the model that's nailed 10 majors, including this year's Masters and Open Championship!
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