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2023-24 NHL Bruins vs. Stars odds, line: Advanced computer model reveals picks for Monday's matchup

The SportsLine Projection Model has a pick for Monday's matinee at TD Garden between Boston and Dallas

The Boston Bruins attempt to avoid a season-high fifth consecutive defeat when they conclude a seven-game homestand Monday afternoon against the Dallas Stars. Boston (32-12-11) dropped a 5-4 decision to Los Angeles in overtime on Saturday to fall to 0-2-2 over its last four games, matching an identical four-game winless stretch from Dec. 16-23. Dallas (34-14-7), which sits atop the Central Division, is coming off a 4-3 overtime loss to Edmonton but has earned at least one point in 10 of its last 11 contests (8-1-2). The Bruins posted a 3-2 victory when the teams met in Dallas in November.

Opening faceoff at TD Garden is set for 1 p.m. ET. Boston is a -130 favorite (risk $130 to win $100) on the money line in the latest Bruins vs. Stars odds from SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total goals scored is 6 (see the latest lines for every game on our NHL odds page).

Before making any Stars vs. Bruins picks, you NEED to see the latest NHL predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

This model simulates every NHL game 10,000 times, taking into account factors like current form, individual matchups, injuries and short- and long-term trends when making NHL picks. It enters this matchup on a strong 7-2 run on top-ranked NHL money-line picks. 

The model knows that despite going 1-3-2 on their homestand thus far, the Bruins have a strong 17-7-5 record in their own building this season. Through Saturday's slate, Boston was tied for sixth in the NHL in goals allowed (147) and fourth in goal differential (plus-38). David Pastrnak has recorded 34 goals and 79 points, ranking fourth in the league in both categories, and has registered at least one point in seven of his last eight contests (four goals, eight assists).

It also is aware that Dallas entered Sunday leading the NHL with 208 goals and ranking third with a plus-41 goal differential. The Stars have seven players who have netted 17 or more tallies this season - including Roope Hintz, who tops the team with 23. Mason Marchment is riding a nine-game point streak during which he has registered four goals and nine assists, while Matt Duchene has notched at least two points in four consecutive contests and scored a goal in three straight.

Now, the model has set its sights on Bruins vs. Stars. We can tell you it's leaning Over on the goal total, but it also says one side of the money line has ALL the value! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NHL picks of your own.

So who wins Bruins vs. Stars on Monday, and which side of the money line has ALL the value? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Stars vs. Bruins money line you should be all over on Monday, all from the model that has simulated this matchup 10,000 times!

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SportsLine Staff
SportsLine Staff

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