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2022 Indianapolis 500 odds, picks: Projected IndyCar at The Brickyard leaderboard, predictions from proven model

The SportsLine Projection Model simulated the 2022 Indy 500 at Indianapolis Motor Speedway 10,000 times

The 2022 Indianapolis 500 will take place on Sunday at Indianapolis Motor Speedway, one of the world's most famous tracks. The green flag is scheduled to drop at 12:45 p.m. ET. Helio Castroneves tied the all-time record with his fourth Indy 500 win a season ago. The defending champion is a 25-1 long shot in the 2022 Indianapolis 500 odds from Caesars Sportsbook. Scott Dixon is the 4-1 favorite in the Indy 500 odds.

Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary auto racing prediction model takes into account a slew of factors including track history and recent results.

In the 2021 NASCAR season, McClure nailed Martin Truex Jr. to win at Martinsville for a strong 3-1 payout. Then it called Chase Elliott to win at Road America for a 5-2 payout. McClure's model also called Larson's win at Texas for an 11-4 payout and his win at Kansas for a 9-4 payout in back-to-back weeks before nailing Larson to win the season finale in Phoenix to claim the 2021 NASCAR Cup Championship. 

In total, it nailed five of Larson's wins during a historic season and has also gone 15-9 on its head-to-head matchup predictions to start the 2022 season. Then earlier this season it was high on Ross Chastain to win in Austin, giving him a far better shot to win than his 40-1 odds implied. The model was also high on Joey Logano before he won as a 15-1 underdog at Darlington. Anyone who followed its lead on those plays saw HUGE returns.

Now, the model has dialed in on IndyCar at The Brickyard 2022 and released its projections. 

We can tell you the model is high on Ed Carpenter, even though he's a big 22-1 long shot in the latest 2022 Indianapolis 500 odds. He's a target for anyone looking for a HUGE payday. And a massive shocker: Pato O'Ward, one of the Vegas favorites at 17-2, stumbles big-time and fails to crack the top five! There are far better values in the 2022 Indy 500 starting grid.

The model is also targeting four other drivers with 2022 Indianapolis 500 odds of 18-1 or longer to make a serious run at the checkered flag! Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it BIG. You ABSOLUTELY need to see who it is before locking in any IndyCar picks.

So who wins the 2022 Indy 500? And which long shots are a MUST-BACK? ... Join SportsLine right now to see the full projected Indianapolis 500 leaderboard, all from the model that nailed five of Kyle Larson's wins last season!

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Mike McClure
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