Fountain of Youth Stakes winner Simplification can establish himself as one of the leading contenders for the 2022 Kentucky Derby when he leaves the starting gate in the 2022 Florida Derby on Saturday at Gulfstream Park. He is the 5-2 favorite in the 2022 Florida Derby odds. White Abarrio, who won the Holy Bull Stakes, is 3-1 in the 11-horse 2022 Florida Derby field, while Charge It and Classic Causeway are 7-2. The 2022 Florida Derby post time is 6:38 p.m. ET. 

With very little separating the top four choices on Saturday, you'll want to see what racing insider and Beyer Speed Figure maker Bob Weir has to say before making any Florida Derby picks.

A Saratoga Springs-based racing insider and Beyer Speed Figure maker, Weir is a two-time qualifier for the prestigious National Horseplayers Championship in Las Vegas. He has produced multiple five-figure days at the track over the years, including a $60,000 Pick 6 at Del Mar in 2014. Last year, he was on fire. He hit the exacta in the Sam F. Davis Stakes, Tampa Bay Derby and Peter Pan Stakes, the trifecta in the Risen Star Stakes, Blue Grass Stakes and Pennsylvania Derby and the superfecta in the Belmont Stakes!

This year, he has hit the trifecta in the Pegasus World Cup and Louisiana Derby, the exacta in the Fountain of Youth Stakes and Tampa Bay Derby and multiple Pick 4s, among other scores.

Now, Weir has handicapped the 2022 Florida Derby field, made his picks and constructed his bets.

One surprise: Weir is fading White Abarrio, even though he is one of the top favorites. In his last race, White Abarrio won the Holy Bull, earning a Beyer Speed Figure of 97, the best in the field. "I do not expect a similar trip Saturday," Weir told SportsLine.

Instead, Weir's top pick is a "big horse who should appreciate the stretch-out in distance." He also is high on a double-digit long shot who could make waves! Weir is including these horses in his 2022 Florida Derby bets and exotics, and so should you. You ABSOLUTELY need to see his picks before locking in any of your own!

What horse wins the 2022 Florida Derby? And what double-digit long shot is a MUST-BACK? ... Join SportsLine right now to get the top 2022 Florida Derby picks, exctas, trifectas, superfectas, and more, all from the racing insider who has nailed the Pegasus World Cup, Tampa Bay Derby and Louisiana Derby this year!