A rematch from two years ago takes place Thursday as Spain takes on Italy in the semifinals of the 2022-23 UEFA Nations League. The sides also met in the semis of the 2020-21 competition, with Spain posting a 2-1 victory before losing to France by the same score in the final. The clubs took similar routes to this matchup, posting identical 3-2-1 records while scoring eight goals during the group stage.

Kickoff at De Grolsch Veste in Enschede, Netherlands is set for 2:45 p.m. ET. The Spanish are the +135 favorites (risk $100 to win $135) in the latest Spain vs. Italy odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the Italians are +225 underdogs. A 90-minute draw is priced at +205 and the over/under for total goals scored is 2.5. (For more soccer coverage, click here)

Before you make any Italy vs. Spain picks or UEFA Nations League predictions, you NEED to see what SportsLine soccer insider Martin Green has to say.

After working in the sports betting industry for several years, Green became a professional sports writer and handicapper and has covered the game worldwide. Since last year's World Cup, Green has been profitable in multiple areas on his soccer picks, including the Champions League (+5.13 units), the FA Cup (+3.07), the EFL Cup (+3.64) and the Europa League (+1.60).

Now, he's locked in on this Spain vs. Italy matchup and revealed his best bets. 

Green knows Spain posted a clean sheet in each of their three victories during the group stage of the UEFA Nations League, including one against Portugal in their final match that earned them first place. Striker Alvaro Morata scored the lone goal in that contest and is tied with midfielder Pablo Sarabia for the team lead in the competition with two. Winger Marco Asensio has yet to tally for the Spaniards but is tied for third in the Nations League with three assists.

The expert also has taken into account that Italy also needed a win in their final group-stage game to advance and got it as they defeated Hungary 2-0 to finish one point better in their group. The club received goals from forward Giacomo Raspadori and defender Federico Dimarco, with the former recording his second of the competition to pull even with midfielder Lorenzo Pellegrini for first on the team. The 23-year-old Raspadori also netted the lone tally in Italy's 1-0 victory against England three days earlier.

Now, Green has taken an in-depth look at the Spain vs. Italy match from every angle. We can tell you he is leaning Over on the goal total and has two CONFIDENT best bets, in addition to a full breakdown of the match. You ABSOLUTELY need to see his picks and analysis before making any selections of your own. 

Who wins Spain vs. Italy in the UEFA Nations League semifinals on Thursday, and where does all the betting value lie? ... Join SportsLine now to see Martin Green's best bets for Italy vs. Spain, all from the insider who has been profitable on his soccer bets!