Orange you glad we didn’t opt out.

Take stability over a 4th stringer.

Lamar Jackson has been over this total 7 times. 5 of the 7 were Baltimore losses. Of the other 2…one was an Overtime game. The other was a 35-34 game. Thus, if you believe Baltimore will win and this game won’t be played with a combined in the 70s…take the under.

I don’t really see a scenario where ND loses this game. I make them 75% to win so while this is a big favorite I have to trust my numbers. I love pairing this with an Indiana team total under 22.5 as well.

I know he’s drawing Bam but this guy is in a zone. Over. Plus money.

Johnston will face the quality secondary that should be able to hold him under the four catch Mark. Especially considering that Patrick Surtan will be on him a significant portion of the game.

Teams run the ball v the Chargers. They have an undersized front. Add in the Broncos are GREAT in the screen game and this makes sense.

This is simply too high. Sure Nix had 8 attempts last week….but yikes before that. Median is less than 3…

In examining the San Francisco 49ers, last two months. I discovered that they have not had ANY game where the teams have run a total of 120 plays (the league average is 120-125). In fact, the median number of plays is 115. Put another way, there will be less plays run tonight than you are projecting. This shows up big in pass attempts and completions against the 49ers and thus I’m taking the under.

The good news is that we have an idea of what the Niners will do when running backs get injured (see CMC). It’s next man up. I’m projecting 20.5 running back rush attempts for the Niners tonight. Thus I’ll take the over here.

Kyren Williams essentially gets every single ram rushing touchdown. And with the exception of a mysterious four game stretch in the middle of the season, he has scored in every game. The Rams understand what to do near the goal line and they understand he’s their guy. With such a high total on the board, I project him higher than -145.

Brock Purdy has scored in three of his last six games. And he had 10 rushing attempts in the first meeting against the Rams. With the Niners banged up at RB, I see good value at a +450 price for him to sneak into the end zone.

The rams are 11 and five when their skilled position players are all together. Plus, while the Rams are +156 to make the playoffs…San Francisco is +2000 to win the division… They are essentially eliminated already. Add in a banged up 49er team who has lost three out of four, and I’m taking the points.

Got turned on to this by MBrooks…did my own crunch and I agree. This is a spot where he should get 5+ attempts. He makes 2.

This was a pick we discussed on “Primetime Pregame” (6pm est Cbssports.com.) Alex S. correctly points out that JP was usually effective b Bam last time they met. So I crunched and don’t think he will be as effective this time. Under