The Kings are playing nothing but bonkers games lately They have scored 123 or more in 8 of their last 10 games and Knicks have allowed opponents to go over this in three of their last 5 games. Knicks last 4 Western Conference teams are over this total. Three of the Knicks last 5 home opponents are over this total. Sabonis is in peak form, the Kings are shooting great from behind the arc and the Knicks lack of a rotation and playing starters so many minutes can be a problem in the dog days of the season, still a few weeks away from the All Star break.

The Pistons have covered 10 of 16 and 10 of their last 12 on the road. More to the point, they have covered by an average of 7.96 PPG in that 12-game span. They have covered all 4 road games this month. The Magic have failed to cover 5 straight games, all by at least 5.5 points. Yikes. ORL is 4-11 ATS in their last 15, they look totally disjointed offensively and lack energy on the court. They are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 at home.. Five of their last 6 losses at home are by 13 points or more. I think the wrong team is favored here.

The Pistons are thriving on the road and they have won 7 of 8 on the road. Being a dog suits them quite well and this is a pick 'em game for me. Pitons are clearly playing better ball this month and it's not particularly close. Orlando has dropped 5 straight and Magic are just 2-8 in their last 10 games. They are prone to prolonged scoring droughts and I'm not sure the return of Franz Wagner is going to change nearly enough about what's going wrong. DET is a top 7 NBA team in net rating over the last 10 games (+4.8), while Magic are 28th (-13.1). Maybe they turn it around here, but I'm betting against it.

These teams are playing vastly different ball as they meet for a playoff rematch. Denver lost by 3 when they met in Nov but a lot has changed since then. Denver is 12-3 in its last 15 games, winning 6 straight on the road and MIN is 6-7 in the last 13, losing 3 straight at home. Nuggets are 10-5 as a road favorite and Wolves are 2-3 in the division and 0-2 as a home dog. The Joker is playing unreal ball, Nuggets offense has transformed since their first meeting and they won 2 of 3 at MIN in the playoff meeting.

The Sixers are going through the motions and Joel Embiid is still out and they have been even worse at home for the most part than they've been on the road. Cavs ML let us down by terrible ending and missed FGs. In their last 23 games the Cavs have just two instances of going 2 in a row without covering. Cavs smashed the Sixers by 27 a month ago. Cavs 9-3 ATS at home when a favorite of under 10 points. Sixers have gone 9 games without covering and covered once in last 12 games. Were just a 13-point dog at MIL, but just 9.5 here? Sold.

The Clippers continue to cover like crazy at home and should have beat the Celtics last night. And it sounds like all of the Clippers' injured starters are back tonight after many of them missed the last two games. LA has the defensive chops to shut down the run-and-gun Wizards and they will beat up WSH inside and outside. LAC are 13-3 ATS last 16 at home, 9-2 ATS vs. the East and 7-2 ATS last 9 games. Washington has been blown out by 23 or more in 3 of last 4 on road, including last night by the slumping Lakers.

Nuggets are in peak form after needing time to sort out their roster. Love what I am seeing from them lately and catching the Kings on back to backs after playing a rivalry game with GS suits me just fine. Nuggets have covered 7 of their last 8 games overall, all by at least 4.5 points. Their last 12 wins are by double digits. The Joker is getting triple doubles in basically a half. Kings are 3-5 ATS with no rest. Three of their last 4 losses at Denver were blowouts. They have been scoring a ton and both teams can fill it up, but I like the more rested Nuggets in altitude. Denver is second in NBA in net rating over last 15 games.

We really liked the Bucks had they played New Orleans on Wed night. Weather scuttled that, but the extra day off should be good for Giannis and Khris Middleton. Bucks have scored 121+ in 6 of their last 8 and the Heat, dealing with more Jimmy Butler suspension drama, are struggling on offense again. Bucks have won 7 of 8 with a MOV of 15 and covered 6 of last 8. Eleven of their last 12 wins are by 8+ points. Heat have lost 4 of 5 and are 4-11 ATS in last 15 on road and 7-16 ATS with one day off. Heat looking especially vulnerable lately and Bucks starting to figure it out.

The Magic cannot get it together and the Paolo bump I expected has not materialized. They are 2-5 in last 7 games and, after years of cashing like crazy at home, are just 2-6 ATS In last 8 at home. They are 0-4 ATS last 4 times favored by 3 or more. Blazers are playing solid ball lately. They're covered 5 straight on road, are 12-9-1 ATS as a road dog and 6-3 ATS vs the Eastern Conference. They are live for me to win this game.

The Clippers have covered like crazy at home ( ) but they say both their bigs vs the Bulls on Mon and paid the price for it, getting blown out in the third quarter. However, it made for a lighter night for James Harden and others with that game rescheduled from the fires. They should be up for this. BOS is 9-13 ATS in the last 22 games, 4-8 ATS in last 12 on road and this i their first California trip of the year. LAC 12-3 ATS at home in last 15 games, 8-2 ATS vs Eastern Conference, and 6-2 ATS in last 8 games overall.

These teams bring out the points when they meet. They've played 9 times since the start of '22-23 and 7 of them have gone over this total, with an average of 239 points. OKC is 6-1 to the over in its last 7 games overall and Jazz are 5-2 to the over in their last 7. Jazz games within the division have gone over 5 times in 6 chances and Thunder are 4-2 to the over within the division.

The Cavs have won 8 of their last 10 on the road, and the last time they faced one of the better teams in the Western Conference, OKC, they got embarrassed in a big way. I don't see that happening again. Cavs are 14-1 vs the Western Conference. Rockets are just 7-5 in their last 12. Rockets are just 19-13 outside their division and just 5-6 as a dog.

The Mavs keep dealing with serious injuries and it's showing up in the perimeter defense. They are bottom 9 in NBA defending the three ball over the last 10 games. Reid is in great form from deep, going over this 6 straight games. He has 15 made 3s in the last 3 games and 26 in the last 6 games. He is averaging more than 3/G this month. Oddly, he did not attempt one from behind the arc when facing the Mavs last months. I don't see that happening again. Wolves seemingly play nothing but close games and Reid has been getting upwards of 30 mins lately as they try to right a suspect season. One of few things they can count on these days.

We have been very cautious with the Nuggets, who were all our of sorts early. But they are playing their best ball now by far and starting to re-establish home court and this altitude is not what the spiraling Sixers need now. More bad news on Joel Embiid for Philly, on an 0-8 ATS jag. Sixers are 2-4 ATS when a dog of 9 points or more and 0-4-1 ATS as a road dog since 1/1. Nuggets have covered 6 of last 7 and their last 11 covers are all by at least 3.5 points. Philly 27th in opposing FG% on road over last 15 games. Nuggets 2nd in NBA in home FG% in that same span. DEN 9-1 ATS in last 10 as favorite.

The Magic have played 10 games against bottom 6 teams in the NBA this season. They have won 7 of them. They've covered 8 of them. They won at Toronto by 8 earlier this month before they had Paolo Banchero back. This is a solid operation going through some struggles against top teams. Raptors getting a bump here after beating Celtics recently but that was their Super Bowl. I like the Magic to get back on the good foot here. Raptors are 24th in NBA in home net rating. Orlando has won 4 straight in the series (all by 9 points or more) and 6 of 7.