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Philadelphia Eagles betting odds, Week 1 Vegas spread and Carson Wentz NFL MVP chances

The Eagles won four of their last five to win the mediocre NFC East at 9-7 last year. Here is a betting analysis of their 2020 schedule:
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The Philadelphia Eagles begin their quest to become the first repeat NFC East champions since 2004 when they visit the Washington Football Team on Sunday with the Eagles one of the biggest Week 1 road favorites at +5.5 on the NFL odds, although that number opened as high as -6.5. While Philly has won eight of its past nine season openers, it is only 1-6 ATS in its past seven September games.

The Eagles will be featured in four prime-time games this season, the 14th consecutive year they have at least that many. There's always the possibility of 1-2 more being flexed to Sunday night.

Weeks 11-16 appear to be the toughest stretch on the slate with a trip to Cleveland, playoff home rematch vs. Seattle, visit to Green Bay, home to New Orleans, at rising Arizona and in Dallas. It's the second year in a row the Eagles and Cowboys play in Week 16. The Eagles were 17-9 home winners last year to all but clinch the NFC East title. 

The Eagles went 7-10 against the spread in 2019 (including playoffs) but covered their last three regular-season games. This offseason, Philly upgraded its suspect secondary, acquiring star corner Darius Slay from the Lions. Per William Hill sportsbook, the Eagles enter the season as second-favorites in the NFC East, just behind Dallas. They had been tied for the shortest odds, but the Cowboys jumped into the favored role following the NFL Draft. There has not been a repeat winner in the NFC East since the Eagles from 2001-04.

Philadelphia could get off to a good start as its first three opponents are non-playoff teams from last year. The Eagles are just 7-10 ATS in September since 2015, though. They lose by an average score of 24.6-20.2.

PHILADELPHIA EAGLES BETTING PROFILE  

2019 record: 9-7 (first, NFC East)

2019 against the spread: 7-10 ATS

2019 ATS margin: -1.5

2019 Over-Under: 8-9 O-U

2020 strength of schedule: Eighth-easiest; Eagles' opponents combined for a .486 winning percentage last season (124-131-1).

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WILLIAM HILL 2020 PHILADELPHIA EAGLES FUTURES ODDS

Win total: 9.5 (Under -115)

To make playoffs: Yes -220, no +180

Division: +135 to win NFC East

Conference: +800 to win NFC

Super Bowl: +1700 to win SB 55

MVP: QB Carson Wentz +2500, RB Miles Sanders +20,000, TE Zach Ertz +30,000

Defensive POY: DT Fletcher Cox +10,000

Offensive ROY: WR Jalen Reagor +2200, QB Jalen Hurts +8000

Defensive ROY: LB Davion Taylor +5000

Comeback POY: WR DeSean Jackson +3300 

Coach of the Year: Doug Pederson +2200 

SportsLine Model's projection: 8.7 wins (Pick is Under) 

PHILADELPHIA EAGLES  GAME-BY-GAME BETTING TRENDS

Week 1 at Washington, 1 PM ET: The favorite is 5-1 ATS in the past six meetings.

Week 2 vs. LA Rams, 1 PM ET: The Eagles are 8-0-1 ATS since 1985 when the Rams visit.  

Week 3 vs. Cincinnati, 1 PM ET: Philly has been blown out in the past two home meetings and is 0-6 ATS in past six on its turf.

Week 4 at San Francisco, 8:20 PM ET: Philly is 8-1 ATS in its past nine in San Francisco, and the Over is 6-3.

Week 5 at Pittsburgh, 1 PM ET: The Eagles are 5-1 ATS in the past six but are 2-6 ATS in past eight against the AFC North on the road.  

Week 6 vs. Baltimore, 1 PM ET: The home team has been favored in the past six meetings (dating to 1994), and Philly is 2-1 ATS in Baltimore but 0-3 ATS at home.  

Week 7 vs. NY Giants, 8:20 PM ET (Thursday): The Eagles are 6-0 SU in the past six meetings at Lincoln Financial Field but just 3-3 ATS, failing to cover in three straight.  

Week 8 vs. Dallas, 8:20 PM ET: Philly is 2-6 SU and ATS in the past eight home matchups even after its 17-9 win in Week 16 last year as a 2-point dog.

Week 9 BYE: The Eagles have struggled after the off week, going 4-6 ATS over the past 10 seasons.  

Week 10 at NY Giants, 1 PM ET: Philly is 5-2 ATS in the past seven at the Giants, and the Over is 8-0 in the past eight, with Philly scoring at least 34 points in six of those.  

Week 11 at Cleveland, 1 ET: Philly is 5-0 SU in the series since 2000 but just 2-3 ATS.   

Week 12 vs. Seattle, 8:15 PM ET (Monday): The Seahawks are 10-5 ATS in the past 15 meetings (5-1 in Philly), including last year's playoff win. 

Week 13 at Green Bay, 4:25 PM ET: The Under 6-2 in the past eight, and the Eagles are 5-2 ATS in the past seven at Lambeau.

Week 14 vs. New Orleans, 4:25 PM ET: The teams have combined for at least 52 points in the last four meetings at The Linc, and the Eagles are 3-1 SU and ATS.  

Week 15 at Arizona, 4:05 PM ET: The Eagles are 2-7 SU (3-6 ATS) in the past nine meetings in the desert.   

Week 16 at Dallas, 4:25 PM ET: A 37-9 victory in 2017 is the only SU and ATS win for the Eagles in the past four meetings at AT&T Stadium. 

Week 17 at Washington, 1 PM ET: The Eagles have been road favorites in six straight, going 3-0 SU and ATS after losing outright in the previous three.    

Some trends contributed by SDQL Gurus   

EXPERT PICK FROM SUPERCONTEST GURU R.J. WHITE: Under 9.5 (-115)

I initially wanted to like the Eagles' Over, as they're the one team in this division with coaching stability. It's going to take some time for the new receiving weapons to get up to speed, and I think they're hampered by what the schedule-makers did, particularly in the second half of the season. After their Week 9 bye, they have to play five road games in a seven-week stretch, and their two home games are against a Seahawks team that has success traveling east in a Monday night game where Seattle is coming off playing on Thursday (giving Pete Carroll's squad a mini-bye), and also a Saints team that looks like a Super Bowl contender. 

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SportsLine Staff
SportsLine Staff

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