Can't say I love that Cubs lineup tonight with a few guys in there who don't normally play too often (Madrigal, Wisdom, Canario, Amaya). Manaea has allowed more than two earned just once all season. He doesn't go deep into games but that could be part of the benefit here. Get through that watered-down Chicago lineup twice and get out of there. The winds at Citi Field appear to be blowing in a bit.

Going to pick on Sean Manaea in this matchup against the Cubs. Manaea appears to be a major regression candidate and has run hot on Ks thus far, in addition to taking advantage of some soft matchups. He will face a Cubs lineup that possesses the 11th lowest K rate against opposing southpaws, in addition to having the second highest OPS.

The oddsmakers continue to overlook Javier Assad whose strong play over the second half of the season last year has carried over to this year. Assad has given up just six earned runs over five starts and possesses an excellent 1.0 WHIP. He has eclipsed this line in 3/5 starts this season and gets to face a Mets lineup that has been very average.