Josh Hart dished out six assists in Game 4. The only game against the Spurs in which he hasn’t finished with at least five assists was in Game 2. Despite being limited to 18 minutes because of foul trouble in that game, he still recorded four assists. He is always looking for his teammates, and he swings the ball quickly to open shooters in the corners, leaving him in a favorable spot to record at least five assists again.
Dylan Harper has scored at least 15 points in three of the four games against the Knicks. The one time he didn’t, he finished with 13 points on 5-for-18 shooting from the field. The last three games, he has played at least 32 minutes and attempted at least 12 shots in each of them. He is shooting 48.1% from the field in the series and shot 50.5% during the regular season, including 39.0% from 3 at home. With plenty of minutes and shot attempts likely, I like his chances of scoring at least 15 points.
At one point in the playoffs, Victor Wembanyama had a stretch in which he averaged 13.9 rebounds over 10 games. However, he has averaged just 8.0 rebounds across eight games since then. After hauling in 12 rebounds in Game 1, he had nine and eight boards the last two games. With regards to this combined prop, Wembanyama has recorded 14 or fewer rebounds and assists in eight straight games. The Knicks are a big team with two very good rebounding centers, so I’ll take the under on this hefty number for Wembanyama.
OG Anunoby was excellent in Game 3, scoring 28 points on 9-for-13 shooting from the field. He has scored at least 17 points in all three games against the Spurs and is shooting 54.3% from the field in the series. Before he hurt his hamstring against the 76ers, he had averaged 21.4 points over his first eight playoff games. It took him some time to shake off the rust when he returned, but he has now scored at least 17 points in six straight games. I think he remains productive in the scoring column as the Knicks try to avoid losing both games at home.
The Spurs have leaned heavily on Devin Vassell, who has logged at least 36 minutes in both games of this series. He averaged 31 minutes a game during the regular season, but has played 34 minutes a night in the playoffs. The added playing time has resulted in him grabbing at least five rebounds in seven of his last 10 games, including nine rebounds each in the two games against the Knicks. With plenty of minutes likely coming his way again, I’ll take this over.
Foul trouble limited Josh Hart to only 18 minutes in Game 1. Still, he finished with four assists. That came on the heels of him posting six assists across 27 minutes in Game 2. Over 16 playoff games, he has posted at least five assists nine times. If Hart can avoid foul trouble, he could blow past this over. He is a player who thrives off the energy of the home crowd, which should also help his cause.
Keldon Johnson has been a key veteran off the bench for the Spurs. He only played eight minutes in Game 1, but he has averaged 18 minutes in the playoffs, so I think we see more of him in Game 2. Even with his limited workload Wednesday, he went 1-for-2 from three. That marked the seventh time over his last eight games that he finished with at least one three-pointer. After he shot 38.3% from three at home this season, I like his chances of making at least one shot from behind the arc in Game 2.
With both teams struggling to hit shots, Dylan Harper had eight rebounds in Game 1. Dating back to the Western Conference Finals, Harper has grabbed at least five rebounds in five straight games. Like a lot of young players, he seems to perform better at home. He averaged 3.9 rebounds a game at home this season, compared to 2.9 a night on the road. After playing so well across 28 minutes in Game 1, I think he sees a similar workload in Game 2 and hits this over.
Josh Hart dealt with some early foul trouble in Game 1, which contributed to him only playing 27 minutes. Still, he finished with six assists. He is averaging 33 minutes a game in the playoffs, so if he can avoid foul trouble, we could see even more of him in Game 2. He has a ton of efficient shooters around him, which has helped him record at least five assists in six of his last nine games. Look for him to record at least five assists again.
Against the stellar Thunder defense, De’Aaron Fox recorded at least five assists in all five games that he played. In three of them, he finished with at least six assists. Although he only produced five assists in Game 7, he should have finished with a lot more as his teammates missed several open looks. The biggest takeaway from that game was that Fox logged 36 minutes, which was his most in a game since returning from his ankle injury. He averaged 6.2 assists per game during the regular season and had at least six assists all three times he played the Knicks, including in the NBA Cup Championship game. I like his chances to reach that threshold again in Game 1.
After a slow start to the playoffs, Mikal Bridges has scored at least 15 points in eight of his last nine games. During that span, he averaged 18.7 points and shot 62.8% from the field, including 37.9% from three. This game being played in San Antonio isn’t a big negative for him because he was better on the road during the regular season. He averaged 13.1 points per game at home, but 15.6 points per game on the road. Another reason to like this over is that Bridges has averaged 36 minutes over the last seven games.
Jalen Williams (hamstring) and Ajay Mitchell (calf) have been ruled out for Game 7. Kenrich Williams wasn’t part of the original rotation in this series, but their injuries have brought him back into the fold. He has played at least 12 minutes in each of the last three games, averaging 8.3 points and 4.7 rebounds along the way. In all three games, he finished with at least 11 combined points and rebounds. He shot 48.4% from the field and 41.0% from behind the arc at home during the regular season, so with the expectation that he plays around 15 minutes Saturday, this over is appealing.
De’Aaron Fox continues to battle through his ankle injury. While it seems to be impacting his shot, it hasn’t hurt him in terms of rebounds and assists. Despite only playing 26 minutes in Thursday’s lopsided win, he still finished with five rebounds and seven assists. After averaging 3.6 rebounds and 6.2 assists against the Thunder during the regular season, he has posted at least 12 combined rebounds and assists in all four playoff games against them. I’ll take this over again.
Luke Kornet is averaging 11 minutes per game in this series. He scored at least four points in three of the five games. He is shooting 63.6% from the field for the series and shot 67.6% from the field at home during the regular season. Across eight home playoff games, he scored at least two points seven times. All we need is one bucket from a very efficient scorer who is also a good offensive rebounder. Take this over.
De’Aaron Fox has played at least 31 minutes in all three games since returning from his ankle injury. He hasn’t been scoring a ton, but he has contributed in other areas. He has provided at least 12 combined rebounds and assists in all three games. Across five regular season games against the Thunder, he averaged 3.6 rebounds and 6.2 assists. I’ll take this over again.










