Will the Orioles bounce back with a vengeance?

Here are the early bets I made after the NFL schedule release ...

It’s a bullpen day for Detroit. Their bullpen owns a 4.27 ERA; however, Cincinnati has struggled hitting over their last seven days, .163 average with a .606 OPS. The same goes for the Tigers offensively, hitting .199 with a .604 OPS against righties on the road over the last month. Hunter Greene has had difficulty at home, allowing 10 runs in his last 10.2 innings but has a favorable matchup against this up-and-down Detroit lineup.

James Wood has a hard-hit rate of 64.3% and an average exit velocity of 98.4 MPH in 18 at-bats. When facing a starting pitcher with a four-seam fastball that averages under 95 MPH, he performed well in Triple-A. Lance Lynn throws his four-seamer 45% of the time and averages just 92 MPH. His xERA is 4.45, indicating he has been relatively lucky this season. The air density is 55, which suggests that the ball will travel 13% farther than a standard air density readout.

James Wood has a hard-hit rate of 64.3% and an average exit velocity of 98.4 MPH in 18 at-bats. When facing a starting pitcher with a four-seam fastball that averages under 95 MPH, he performed well in Triple-A. Lance Lynn throws his four-seamer 45% of the time and averages just 92 MPH. His xERA is 4.45, indicating he has been relatively lucky this season. The air density is 55, which suggests that the ball will travel 13% farther than a standard air density readout.

It was four weeks ago that Matt Waldron was staked to a big early lead at Petco vs. the Diamonbacks as he took a no-hitter into the sixth inning of an eventual 13-1 win. San Diego has since further accelerated and enters tonight having won 12 of 15 (including a rousing 10-8, walk-off win last night over the same Arizona) and now into one of the NL wild card spots. Waldron had a solid June with a 2.45 ERA, while D-backs counterpart Brandon Pfaadt could only spin a 4.50 ERA in six June starts, and was hammered at Petco on June 7 when allowing nine hits (and three homers) in a 10-3 loss.

The Birds have stayed mostly airborne on this trip to the AL West, but not much thanks to the offense, as Baltimore continues to score at a three-runs per game pace after last night's 3-2 win. The O's might think three runs is enough this afternoon at the Coliseum against a hit-and-miss A's offense and with young Cade Povich posting a 2.53 ERA his last four starts. Meanwhile, Oakland pitchers have only allowed three runs across the past three games, and Luis Medina off of six innings, allowing just one run and four hits vs. the D-backs last Sunday.

The Mariners are 3-4 during their current homestand despite typically excelling in Seattle, and even though they cut the strikeouts down during a short stretch a few weeks back, they're back to being well over 10 Ks per game, including striking out 10.43 times per game at home. The last 10 righties they've faced have all recorded at least six Ks (with eight getting to eight Ks). Yariel Rodriguez has 52 Ks in 41.2 innings across all levels this year, and I have no workload concerns after he threw 83 pitches on Monday.

The Marlins have been so bad that the White Sox are -155 road favorites today, and the Miami offense has been putrid of late, posting a 63 OPS+ in the last 28 days. That's even worse than their awful 68 OPS+ against lefties this season. Lefty Garrett Crochet leads the league with a 12.5 K/9, and he's reached eight Ks in six of his last seven starts. The Marlins have been struck out at least nine times by four of the last seven lefty starters they've faced as well. I'm expecting double-digit Ks from Crochet today.

The Mets have dropped three straight after an incredible 14-4 run, but this is a good spot to get back on track. They've posted an excellent 118 OPS+ against lefties, with only half of the southpaw starters they've faced recording more than 15 outs. Bailey Falter has been shaky after a great start to the year, lasting just four innings in three of his last five starts and only throwing five in another. He hasn't topped 82 pitches in his last six starts either. A tough matchup could chase Falter early, but either way it's hard to see him throwing more than five innings after the Pirates bullpen was able to reset yesterday by using just one reliever.

The Cardinals have played three straight extra-innings games, with five relievers being used yesterday. That means they're going to need all they can get from Lance Lynn in this start, which means we should see him throw 90-plus pitches today, and five Ks should be the expectation in that scenario. He's reached that number in nine of his last 10 starts even though he didn't complete five innings four times during that stretch. Even with Washington's sixth-lowest strikeout per game rate, I like Lynn to pitch deep enough to get to five Ks once again.

Taj Bradley has had two rough starts this year, and in one he still managed 10 strikeouts and no walks. He's reached six Ks in eight of his 10 starts even though he's completed six innings just four times. Though the Rangers have struck out the seventh-fewest times per game, I think Bradley's 11.7 K/9 rate give him a great shot of getting to six Ks even if he doesn't finish the sixth inning.

This is a big number for Andrew Heaney who has failed to eclipse 6+ IP in 11 of 17 starts this season. On the surface this might appear to be a plus matchup for Heaney, however the Rays have been above average against opposing southpaws this season.

Hunter Brown has pitched very well for the Astros, particularly recently, however Brown possesses some drastic home versus road splits. He'll also be facing a very underrated Twins lineup that has performed very well recently. I believe Brown is pitching above his head and I think this is a solid spot to fade the young pitcher, on the road, versus an underrated lineup.

This huge ballpark should play well for Orioles rookie lefty Cade Povich, who thus far has fared well against better lineups despite making all his starts in bandboxes (Camden Yards, Yankee Stadium, Rogers Center). He gives up the occasional solo shot but has been very effective overall. The O's are due for another offensive breakout and are loaded with left-handed power bats who can do damage to Luis Medina (some already have strong splits against him in a limited sample). O's are in a weird slump with men on base but that hasn't been a problem this season overall. They have been a top-five teams ATS on the road all season, too.