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Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
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Yes the Seahawks are battered, but they're 8-1 on the road and they tend to play everyone close. I'm expecting big performances from Jadeveon Clowney, and of course Russell Wilson and his receivers. Even if Seattle gets down 10, the backdoor should be open. Grab the points.
There is some worry about Green Bay being rusty coming off the bye, especially after it was already struggling to beat teams like Chicago and Washington during the final month of the season, but I think it's going to give the Packers fresh legs against a Seahawks team that had to grind out a win against the Eagles despite Carson Wentz being injured in the first half. Green Bay's defense has been impressive at times this season, and it enters the game with a far better running game. Look for the Packers to hit big with Aaron Rodgers, run the clock with Aaron Jones and avoid giving the ball back to Russell Wilson late. Green Bay by a touchdown.
Seattle has gotten this far behind the ingenuity of quarterback Russell Wilson -- and not much else. The Seahawks ranked 21st in points allowed for the regular season, and its running back corps has been ravaged by injuries. The recent return of prodigal son Marshawn Lynch has mattered little. The Packers’ defensive front should impose its will on Seattle’s offensive line. That will put pressure on Wilson -- who is 0-3 at Lambeau Field and endured his worst career game there with five picks -- to make magic. Frigid temperatures will add to the home advantage of the Packers, who have covered in five of the last six postseason gigs. Go with Green Bay.
Even if the weather wasn’t showing 23 degrees by kickoff with a slight chance of snow and 5 mile per hour winds, this would still be a game to bet the Under based on current form. The Seahawks have stayed Under the total in their last three games, which coincides with them losing running back Chris Carson. The Packers have stayed Under in their last four games with an offense that doesn’t wow but gets the job done. I’m on the Under.
The Seahawks offense is still banged up beyond recognition and has averaged only 18.6 points per game in its last five. Aaron Rodgers has evolved into nothing more than a glorified game-manager and Aaron Jones has become the focal point of Green Bay's offense. All of that, combined with typical January conditions in Green Bay have me on the Under, as I wouldn't expect this game to be a shootout.
It's the divisional round of the NFL Playoffs, and I'm still trying to figure out what to expect from the Packers on offense. I think it's safe to say that they are capable of running away with this game against Seattle based off their personnel. I'll give even more credit to the Packers defense in this one; I like their ability at all three levels. Take Green Bay.
This game should be a tale of two teams trying to run the ball, which will help reduce the number of possessions and keep the total relatively low. But while I expect the Packers run game to have success, I'm not so sure the Seahawks can score a bunch of points in this cold-weather game on the road. Marshawn Lynch should get more work this week, but he's failed to impress, and the Packers defense has stepped up in the second half, helping seven of their last eight Unders cash. I'll look for a similar formula here against a Seahawks offense that hasn't been very impressive since their Week 11 bye.
I have the Packers getting a four-point home field advantage in the playoffs, so this line to me is saying these teams are even. However, even though the Seahawks have a better DVOA, the Packers have the clear edge in point differential (+63 vs. +7) and are healthier after resting on Wild Card Weekend. While Seattle is the type of team built to exploit Green Bay's weakness against the run, Marshawn Lynch has not impressed after being pulled out of retirement. The Green Bay defense has been excellent in the second half of the season, and I expect the Packers to win on that side of the ball while Aaron Rodgers and Aaron Jones roll against an average Seahawks defense.
Green Bay's offense isn't totally dependent on Aaron Rodgers anymore, thanks to Aaron Jones. He's scored 19 touchdowns. The Packers' defense is very good right now and they'll pressure Russell Wilson. I know Seattle has been great on the road, but that Seahawks' defense almost let 40-year-old Josh McCown come back and beat them. Lay the points.