The Utah State Aggies will take on the SMU Mustangs at 7 p.m. ET on Friday at SimpliFI Arena at Stan Sheriff Center in the second round of the Diamond Head Classic. Utah State advanced with an 84-56 win over Seattle on Thursday, and SMU notched an upset win over Iona. The Aggies are favored by 12 points in the latest Utah State vs. SMU odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is set at 145.5. 

Before you make any SMU vs. Utah State picks and predictions, you'll want to see what the SportsLine Projection Model is saying.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. The model enters Week 7 of the 2022-23 college basketball season on a strong 19-12 roll on all-top rated CBB picks, returning more than $200. Anybody who has followed it has seen profitable returns.

Now, it has simulated Utah State vs. SMU 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Under, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that says one side of the spread has all the value. You absolutely need to see it before locking in your own picks.

So who wins Utah State vs. SMU? And which side of the spread is a must-back? Join SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has crushed its college basketball picks... If you're already a member, see the picks below!