2023 NFL futures, odds: Coach of the Year betting strategy includes best bets, key longshot values

We continue previewing the 2023 NFL season by breaking down the Coach of the Year odds and giving out our picks

R.J. White
Updated: Jul 14, 2023 3:16pm . 3 min read

Over the past few weeks, we've taken a deep dive into NFL futures odds available at Caesars Sportsbook, creating a betting strategy from everything to Super Bowl and division winners to MVP and other major awards. Our last such piece (for now) breaks down Coach of the Year, an award that typically features a wide spread of odds available from book to book for different NFL head coaches. It's always important to shop around before making your bets, but in this particular award, I've seen coaches in the past that were among the favorites at one book and longest shots at others. It pays to do your homework!

Last year featured a particularly strong crop of candidates for the award. Doug Pederson turned the Jaguars from the worst team in football two years running into a playoff team; he finished third in the voting. Nick Sirianni changed the makeup of the Eagles offense in a way that steamrolled the NFC; he finished fifth. The winner? Brian Daboll, who faced a similar situation to Pederson in taking over for a woefully inept coach and pushing his team to a playoff appearance and even winning a game in the postseason.

I'll dig more into what recent history regarding award winners means for our strategy, break down the field for Coach of the Year below and identify who I think makes the most sense to back, including some longshots I think could be worth small-sized plays. But first, let's look at the full list of odds.

2023 Coach of the Year odds

CoachOdds
CoachOdds
Arthur Smith +1000
Shane Steichen +2200
Dan Campbell +1000
Bill Belichick +2500
Sean Payton +1200
Kyle Shanahan +2500
Matt Eberflus +1300
Jonathan Gannon +3000
Robert Saleh +1500
Brian Daboll +3000
Matt LaFleur +1600
Sean McVay +3000
Mike McDaniel +1800
Mike Vrabel +3000
Frank Reich +2000
Josh McDaniels +3000
DeMeco Ryans +2000
Ron Rivera +3000
Dennis Allen +2000
Mike McCarthy +3500
Pete Carroll +2000
Sean McDermott +3500
Brandon Staley +2000
Nick Sirianni +3500
Mike Tomlin +2000
John Harbaugh +4000
Kevin Stefanski +2000
Andy Reid +4000
Zac Taylor +2200
Kevin O'Connell +4000
Doug Pederson +2200
Todd Bowles +5000

Which favorites are worth playing to win Coach of the Year, and which should be faded? And which candidates make for the best values to take home the award? ... Join SportsLine right now to see NFL Coach of the Year futures betting strategy from SportsLine's No. 1 NFL expert!