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Neither teams liked to play fast last season. Wagner was 358th in tempo and lost their top three scorers from their NCAA tournament berth last year. The Scarlet Knights got a lot of offensive firepower for this season but will be without Ace Bailey for their home opener. Rutgers was 355th in three-point efficiency and struggled finishing at the rim. When the total is higher than 128 for Rutgers home games, the game went under in 12 of their last 16 games.
Let's assume Wagner, which played slowly enough last season to average 63.7 ppg, continues to let the air out of the ball. The Under carried nearly 60 percent of the time. The Under for Rutgers was even more pronounced last year. The lower the score, the better for the underdog to cover. Ace Bailey is projected as the Knights' centerpiece, but the projected top three NBA draft pick and highest-ranked recruit ever for the program will see his debut delayed by injury. In his absence, Rutgers must adjust virtually on the fly.