Jets vs Colts prediction, odds, TNF props: NFL expert makes Thursday Night Football player prop bet picks

Carson Wentz, Jonathan Taylor and the Indianapolis Colts (3-5) host Mike White, Michael Carter and the New York Jets (2-5) in a key Week 9 NFL matchup on Thursday Night Football. Kickoff is at for 8:15 p.m. ET from Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, Ind. The Colts are 10.5-point favorites in the latest Jets vs. Colts odds from Caesars Sportsbook. The over-under is set at 46 points. In addition to the standard Thursday Night Football point spread and Colts vs. Jets betting lines, Caesars is also offering a plethora of prop bet options for this prime time AFC matchup between two teams desperate for a win, and SportsLine NFL expert R.J. White has just revealed his top player prop plays.

Looking for expert advice to sharpen your betting skills? Or do you need an edge in your fantasy league? Sign up for the SportsLine Daily newsletter NOW to get sports picks and fantasy advice delivered directly to your inbox.

White, a CBS Sports fantasy and gambling editor, ended the 2020 season on an 80-59 run on all NFL picks, returning more than $1,400 during that span. He also enters Week 9 as SportsLine's No. 2 rated NFL expert, going 42-29-1 (+1000) on his last 72 NFL ATS picks. It's no surprise, as White has cashed huge twice in the world's most prestigious football handicapping competition, the Las Vegas SuperContest. Anyone who has followed his picks has seen HUGE returns.

You can see all of White's expert NFL picks and analysis HERE.

Now, White has locked in on Jets vs. Colts and just revealed his top three prop bet picks for this Week 9 NFL Thursday Night Football matchup.

Who wins every NFL game? And which teams will sink your bankroll? Join SportsLine now to get NFL picks every week, all from the model that simulates every game 10,000 times and is up almost $8,000.

Michael Carter Under 49.5 rushing yards (-105)

"The Jets caught lightning in a bottle with Mike White last week, with the unheralded quarterback posting a 400-yard passing day. Carter was able to rush for a season-best 77 yards on a season-high 15 carries with the Bengals defense playing on its heels. Clearly the market doesn't expect the Jets to be competitive for a second straight week, with the Colts instilled as double-digit favorites. It's more likely Carter's rushing workload comes down this week. But even if it doesn't consider that he managed only 3.2 yards per carry in his first four starts and that the Colts rank first in rush defense DVOA. This is the same defense that largely held three good rushing offenses (Ravens, 49ers, Titans) in check over the last four weeks. The most likely game script sees Carter returning to the 10-12 carry range and averaging south of four yards per carry. Those numbers add up to an Under here."

Looking for expert advice to sharpen your betting skills? Or do you need an edge in your fantasy league? Sign up for the SportsLine Daily newsletter NOW to get sports picks and fantasy advice delivered directly to your inbox.

Michael Carter Over 4.5 receptions (-120)

"But that doesn't mean I think Carter is doomed to an unproductive day. He's been impressive as a receiver so far this year, and on that front he's seen a massive uptick in usage since White has taken over behind center. After consistently seeing three targets per game for four weeks, Carter got nine targets against the Patriots, catching eight of them for 67 yards. Then he erupted for 95 yards on nine receptions coming off 14 targets in the Jets' win last week. White is going to continue to do his damage underneath, and that means Carter should again be a target hog in this game. If the Colts are up big as the spread indicates, they should be just fine letting the running back take dump-off passes and preventing receivers from getting by them. Everything about this situation makes this my favorite prop for Thursday night's matchup, one I was able to get at plus money earlier in the week."

Who wins every NFL game? And which teams will sink your bankroll? Join SportsLine now to get NFL picks every week, all from the model that simulates every game 10,000 times and is up almost $8,000.

Nyheim Hines Over 11.5 receiving yards (-120)

"With this being a Thursday game and the Colts lining up as big favorites, I think there's a chance they use Jonathan Taylor a little less than they have in recent weeks. If that's the case, that could mean more work for Hines and Marlon Mack. But Hines is the one I wanted to focus on due to the matchup, as the Jets have allowed more receiving yards per game to running backs than any team in the league. The Jets are also one of two teams to surrender at least 10 targets to running backs per game. Clearly there's something NFL offenses are seeing that can be expolited by focusing on running backs in the passing game, something that Frank Reich has needed little prompting to do in the past. After a four-game stretch where he didn't see many passing game looks, Hines managed to catch four passes on five targets for 22 yards last week, matching his reception total from that four-game stretch combined. This is the perfect spot to lean on him again. If you can get a great price on Over 1.5 receptions, I'd take that as well, but if you don't want to lay the -150 I'm seeing in the market, I like this prop to hit too."

Looking for the best picks against the spread, sharp plays on the total, and props you can take straight to the pay window? Join Jonathan Coachman on the Early Edge as he speaks with SportsLine's top handicappers to preview the day's biggest games. We promise to keep it short, sweet and to put some green in your pocket. Early Edge is in your feed every single day by 11 a.m. ET. Subscribe right here on YouTube to watch daily, plus don't miss the Early Edge specials and live shows!