Davante Adams Fantasy football ranking: 2020 outlook, projections, ADP, value, predictions, stats

Davante Adams finished second among receivers in Fantasy scoring during the 2018 season, but a turf toe injury caused him to miss four games in a slightly disappointing 2019 Fantasy season. Where should he be in your 2020 Fantasy football rankings, and what Davante Adams Fantasy football outlook can you expect?

The Packers surprisingly didn't use any of their draft picks to address the receiver position, leaving Adams and teammate Allen Lazard as two of the biggest Fantasy winners following the NFL Draft. SportsLine's projection model has Adams finishing behind only Julio Jones and Michael Thomas with 157 targets in 2020, as he is poised to operate as the clear-cut number one option in Aaron Rodgers' passing attack.

The 2020 Davante Adams Fantasy football value remains strong, as he's set for another 1,000-yard campaign. He's undoubtedly a first-round candidate in most formats, but how high should he be in your 2020 Fantasy football rankings? Here's what you need to know:

So which players are poised for breakouts, which sleepers do you need to jump on, and which busts should you avoid at all costs in your Fantasy football league? Join SportsLine now to get early 2020 Fantasy football rankings, plus see which WR is going to come out of nowhere to crack the top 10, all from the model that out-performed experts big time last season.

Davante Adams Fantasy ADP & ranking (via SportsLine's projection model)

No. 8.2 ADP
No. 4 WR (non-PPR)
No. 3 WR (PPR)

Davante Adams Fantasy projections (via SportsLine's projection model) 

157 targets, 103 receptions, 1,246 receiving yards, 8 receiving TDS
175.1 Fantasy points (non-PPR); 278.1 (PPR)

Davante Adams 2020 Fantasy outlook 

Adams finished second among receivers in Fantasy scoring during the 2018 season, but a turf toe injury caused him to miss four games in a slightly disappointing 2019 Fantasy season. Still, Michael Thomas is the only receiver who has averaged more Fantasy points per game than Davante Adams over the past two seasons. And while he didn't average as many Fantasy points in 2019 as he did the year prior, his 16-game pace for targets of 169 would have tied his career-high. Adams also averaged a career-best 2.33 yards per route run in 2019, good for the third-best mark among receivers with 100 targets.

So why the discrepancy between his 2019 Fantasy average and 2018, when he was the number two WR in Fantasy? Quite simply, it just came down to a bizarre inability for Rodgers and Adams to connect in the end zone.

From 2016-18, Adams averaged 2.4 red zone targets per game. In 2019, he averaged 2.5. From 2016-18, he averaged 0.91 end zone targets per game. In 2019, he also averaged 0.91.

From 2016-18, Adams scored a touchdown on 29 percent of his red zone targets and 45 percent of his end zone targets. In 2019, he scored on 17 percent of his red zone targets and 18 percent of his end zone targets.

Considering every other area of his 2019 statistical profile was on par with or better than his career year in 2018, I'm willing to chalk the dip in touchdown rate up to poor variance. If Adams' touchdown rate bounces back to his career norm, he could be in store for a WR1 type of Fantasy season while operating as the true alpha in Green Bay's passing attack.