LeBron on road in an elimination game. This means more usage. More ball in his hands. Ore drives to the hoop. More than points and rebounds .

Murray has a calf issue. And I’m not sure how much it will limit him. But at 35.5 he will need to play well and do more than score and I’m not sure any game script helps him. Under.

San Diego hasn’t pitched well lately…but tonight at home v a Reds team that is battling the flu I like this ML price. Plus, the Reds SP is overvalued

Max Fried has stepped up for the Braves. Last time out he threw a complete game shut out. I wonder how deep he’ll go this time so I’m going to isolate the first five innings and take the Braves on the money line.

Freeman hasn’t been great but you can see all the signs of a good player about to break out. Love the price here as well in a game where the Dodgers should score 5

Tatum has been SHOCKINGLY consistent in this series: Book him for 40 min 18 shots 7 3pt attempts 8 made FTs The only times he has been under 26 pts is when he has combined to go 3/15 from 3. This is simple: If he’s not awful from 3 he goes over. Plus, even IF awful he has the ability to close out the series with cheap FTs….lots of good game scripts here

This number has come down. Like Mel Gibson in Braveheart I was saying “hold….hold….hold….NOW!” Now meaning at 18.5 this is simply too low for my projections. Pounce now

Miami is a team that will need to hoist threes…..when they miss the Celts can get out. Plus, FTs in the 4th should send us over. Half unit

There is no some pressure in this series, as Tampa broke through. I expect a slow, physical start and with two fine tenders I like under this number. I’m also encouraged that both teams have been very effective killing power plays….that’s an Under’s best friend.

Giddey is a bad fit in this series. He’should play less minutes. The best of this number is gone….I loved it at 22.5 but will still go half unit

Murphy played 44 min….made 5 threes….and took 18 shots. All of those are unlikely to happen again. Despite those outliers Murphybonly had 21 points in game one. Go under 17.5

Dallas should score. The VGK goalkeeping is the weakness….and VGK is great on the power play (2/2 in Game 1). Let’s lean over

Dallas is my pick to win the west…have been since preseason. But that’s not why I make this pick. They outplayed VGK in game 1. Difference was VGK was 2/2 on power play while Dallas was 0/2.

He’s getting minutes…he’s getting opportunities and this number hasn’t adjusted