loading...
League Logo
NBA
League Logo
NBA
League Logo
MLB
League Logo
NHL
League Logo
NFL
All
    loading...
    Avatar
    Avatar

    Matt Severance

    Severance Pays

    Matt Severance is a well-connected writer and high-volume handicapper who has worked in the industry since 2005. After joining SportsLine, Matt quickly established himself as a top expert in multiple sports. Over the past three MLB seasons, Matt is up $2,395 for $100 bettors. Over the past two NBA seasons, Matt has returned $3,215. And over the past four college basketball seasons, Matt is up $887. He went 103-89-2 (plus $665) in the 2023 college football season and 121-93-2 (plus $589) in the 2023 NFL season. Matt believes in buying points in football to get off a push number like 3 or 7. He understands that oddsmakers don't do as much homework on lower-tier FBS games, creating betting opportunities. And he says homefield advantage is underrated in some markets and overrated in others. For Matt Severance media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.

    @jordanpaytonsn1
    LAST 267 NBA PICKS
    +2318.25
    RECORD: 165-102-0
    # 3 NBA EXPERT
    +2318.25
    165-102 IN LAST 267 NBA PICKS

    Get Access To
    ALL PICKS FROM Matt & THE REST OF OUR EXPERTS

    Get Today's Winners Here
    All

    Matt's Picks (5 Live)

    May 17 2024, 6:20 pm UTC
    League
    Pittsburgh
    @ Chi. Cubs
    Matt's PickSubscribers Only
    Unit0.5
    +637.75
    30-8 in Last 38 MLB Player Props Picks
    Analysis:

    How will Miguel Amaya fare vs. the Pirates? ...

    Pick Made: 4:52 pm UTC
    May 17 2024, 11:40 pm UTC
    League
    Oakland
    @ Kansas City
    Matt's PickSubscribers Only
    Unit1.0
    +1687.75
    148-87-1 in Last 236 MLB Picks
    +846.25
    58-37 in Last 95 MLB ML Picks
    +1117
    19-4 in Last 23 KC ML Picks
    Analysis:

    Are the Royals undervalued vs. the A's? ...

    Pick Made: 3:24 pm UTC
    May 18 2024, 12:05 am UTC
    League
    L.A. Angels
    @ Texas
    Matt's PickSubscribers Only
    Unit0.5
    +1687.75
    148-87-1 in Last 236 MLB Picks
    +846.25
    58-37 in Last 95 MLB ML Picks
    +590
    21-10 in Last 31 LAA ML Picks
    Analysis:

    The Angels open a series in Arlington on Friday. ...

    Pick Made: Thu 9:15 pm UTC
    May 18 2024, 12:30 am UTC
    League
    New York
    @ Indiana
    Matt's PickSubscribers Only
    Unit0.5
    +2318.25
    165-102 in Last 267 NBA Picks
    +140
    4-3 in Last 7 NBA ATS Picks
    +335
    6-2 in Last 8 IND ATS Picks
    Analysis:

    The Knicks can finish the Pacers tonight. ...

    Pick Made: 2:34 pm UTC
    May 18 2024, 2:10 am UTC
    League
    Cincinnati
    @ L.A. Dodgers
    Matt's PickSubscribers Only
    Unit1.0
    +1687.75
    148-87-1 in Last 236 MLB Picks
    +846.25
    58-37 in Last 95 MLB ML Picks
    +2194.5
    59-22 in Last 81 LAD ML Picks
    Analysis:

    The Dodgers look to bounce back against the Reds. ...

    Pick Made: 11:44 am UTC

    Matt's Past Picks

    May 17 2024, 2:00 am UTC
    League
    Edmonton
    2
    @ Vancouver
    3
    +1127.5
    44-23 in Last 67 NHL ATS Picks
    +613
    8-2 in Last 10 VAN ATS Picks
    Analysis:

    The Oilers looked excellent in Game 4 but that was at home, a bit of desperation and with Calvin Pickard making his first start of the series in net and first-ever in the playoffs. He played really well and had spectacular numbers all year while in Edmonton. But he's a 32-year-old journeyman for a reason, and his road numbers in the regular season were quite a bit worse. And I guarantee you the Canucks put more than 21 shots on him tonight (and now they have a bit of a book on him). In addition, blueliner Carson Soucy is back from a one-game suspension. Truly don't care who wins overall, simply would like to see seven games in this really fun series.

    Pick Made: Thu 1:10 pm UTC
    May 16 2024, 11:40 pm UTC
    League
    Pittsburgh
    5
    @ Chi. Cubs
    4
    +637.75
    30-8 in Last 38 MLB Player Props Picks
    Analysis:

    Wow, we get -115 on this with Amaya hitting .188 on the season and .143 this month? That's almost in the Martin Maldonado zone (what is it with Chicago catchers?), although Marty definitely stands alone "living in the world of suck," as former Denver Broncos receiver Emmanuel Sanders once memorably said. I think Amaya will be in there because Yan Gomes started last night in Atlanta.

    Pick Made: Thu 1:54 pm UTC
    May 16 2024, 11:40 pm UTC
    League
    Pittsburgh
    5
    @ Chi. Cubs
    4
    +1687.75
    148-87-1 in Last 236 MLB Picks
    +846.25
    58-37 in Last 95 MLB ML Picks
    +1706.5
    69-37 in Last 106 CHC ML Picks
    Analysis:

    Bucs righty Jared Jones is going to be excellent in his career, but he's still a rookie making only his ninth career start -- and the Cubs just beat him last Friday in Pittsburgh. This is too cheap on Chicago and Justin Steele at home to ignore (should be at least -150 in my opinion) as the Cubs are the superior team overall ... but it may get rained out.

    Pick Made: Thu 4:27 pm UTC
    May 16 2024, 11:10 pm UTC
    League
    Tampa Bay
    7
    @ Boston
    5
    +1687.75
    148-87-1 in Last 236 MLB Picks
    Analysis:

    This is simply me thinking the Sox should not be getting +1.5 -- and at some books they aren't. Tampa Bay's bullpen could be really short-handed as the team's main guys have all been used the first two games of the series. Cooper Criswell is only about a five-inning guy for Boston but has a 2.10 ERA. Because the Sox didn't lead after the sixth inning last night, their bullpen is in much better shape.

    Pick Made: Thu 1:28 pm UTC
    May 16 2024, 10:40 pm UTC
    League
    N.Y. Mets
    6
    @ Philadelphia
    5
    +1687.75
    148-87-1 in Last 236 MLB Picks
    +846.25
    58-37 in Last 95 MLB ML Picks
    +1355
    57-32 in Last 89 NYM ML Picks
    Analysis:

    I'm super-late to the Phillies party because I frankly think they are somewhat overrated but hard to argue with the results, and I've been missing out. Totally jinxed now. Still was on the fence here but Mets leadoff hitter Brandon Nimmo was scratched, so why not at this price. Former Met Taijuan Walker has gotten better in each of his three starts this year for the Phillies.

    Pick Made: Thu 9:20 pm UTC
    May 16 2024, 12:05 am UTC
    League
    Cleveland
    0
    @ Texas
    4
    +1687.75
    148-87-1 in Last 236 MLB Picks
    +846.25
    58-37 in Last 95 MLB ML Picks
    +1532.5
    42-17 in Last 59 CLE ML Picks
    Analysis:

    Man the Guardians are so much better than I thought they would be. But this is also the end of seven-game trip so a natural letdown spot ahead of a flight home. Carlos Carrasco has a 6.20 road ERA. Closer Emmanuel Clase likely is not available. Pretty big sense of urgency in Bruce Bochy's clubhouse, at least for mid-May, considering the World Series champs have lost five straight and could fall under .500 for the first time this season. That's definitely some motivation. Since the start of April, Jon Gray has an AL-best 1.50 ERA.

    Pick Made: Wed 8:56 pm UTC
    May 16 2024, 12:00 am UTC
    League
    Colorado
    5
    @ Dallas
    3
    +1127.5
    44-23 in Last 67 NHL ATS Picks
    +730
    13-3 in Last 16 DAL ATS Picks
    Analysis:

    All I want is overtime. The Avalanche will be obviously desperate down 3-1. I'm assuming one of their key guys will not be suspended for six months as the puck is about to drop tonight as happened in Game 4 to Valeri Nichushkin. Hadn't heard of that before. But blueliner Devon Toews is back after missing that injured. Never would have played Colorado ML in Game 4 had I known those two were out. The big reason I'm gonna try this, though, is Dallas will be without Roope Hintz (30G, 35A in RS). Hintz has two goals and six points in nine playoff contests. I deserve this after the Rangers' third-period fiasco the other night.

    Pick Made: Wed 9:06 pm UTC
    May 15 2024, 11:20 pm UTC
    League
    Chi. Cubs
    7
    @ Atlanta
    1
    +1687.75
    148-87-1 in Last 236 MLB Picks
    +968
    25-9 in Last 34 ATL ATS Picks
    Analysis:

    Was not on my radar at all but Ronald Acuna is getting his first day off this season -- granted, not close to what he was last year but it's significant -- and still no Austin Riley for the Braves. Javier Assad has been incredibly good for the Cubs. Like too good so it can't continue, but we only need a one-run loss.

    Pick Made: Wed 8:55 pm UTC
    May 15 2024, 5:10 pm UTC
    League
    Miami
    2
    @ Detroit
    0
    +1687.75
    148-87-1 in Last 236 MLB Picks
    +846.25
    58-37 in Last 95 MLB ML Picks
    +1050.25
    42-23 in Last 65 DET ML Picks
    Analysis:

    The Marlins' bullpen might be in tatters after the team played a third straight one-run game Tuesday. Starter Trevor Rogers (0-6, 6.57) has allowed 12 earned runs in just 5.2 innings over his last two outings. Detroit's Casey Mize, the former No. 1 overall pick, can be a bit untrustworthy on the road but has a 2.65 ERA at home in three starts.

    Pick Made: Wed 3:25 pm UTC
    May 15 2024, 4:35 pm UTC
    League
    Toronto
    2
    @ Baltimore
    3
    +1687.75
    148-87-1 in Last 236 MLB Picks
    +846.25
    58-37 in Last 95 MLB ML Picks
    +1772
    49-20 in Last 69 BAL ML Picks
    Analysis:

    Getting the O's only -125 at home means I have to play something even though Jays starter Yusei Kikuchi has been very good this season. A lot of Orioles hitters have good career splits off him. This may well get rained out like last night's did when Chris Bassitt was to pitch for the Jays and we liked that much better. The O's have been very good at home vs. lefties like Kikuchi, though.

    Pick Made: Wed 3:18 pm UTC