Jason's Picks (6 Live)
Jason's Past Picks
Lakers have nothing to lose - no team has ever come back from 3-0 down in the NBA - and have to let it all hang out on the road here. Nuggets have yet to play an A Game offensively or really come very close to it, and the slow starts have been surprising. Of the 15 games between them since start of 22-23, only 3 finished below this total and only 2 of their 8 playoff games in that span are under 217. This total is a full 10 below where Game 1 in this series closed. Lakers have been in every game, but I suspect the Nuggets push the pace in their return to altitude and I project these two each cracking 110
Dodgers hitting the ball better now. Ohtani comfortable in his new surroundings and facing a starter he can crush. He hasn't gone consecutive days without an RBI this month and he didn't have one yesterday. So I'm thinking he's due.
The D-Backs need a spark and he could provide it. He owns Paxton and hits him for average and power. Paxton doesn't go deep and Dodgers pen has some holes.
The Fightin Phils keep battling, the rotation keeps rolling and the bats are busting out. They tend to beat up on bad pitching and while Griffin Canning isn't quite as bad as his numbers indicate, he can give up run in bunches, something Phillys lineup excels at. Alex Bohm is on fire and Angels in a freefall after getting lit up by light-hitting Twins. Bullpen very taxed right now
Holmgren has come out shooting from distance in these games and I expect more of the same in Game 4. The Pels C, Jonas Valanciunas, can't guard him on the perimeter and it remains a match-up problem in a series full of them for New Orleans without Zion. Holmgren attempted 6 3s in each of the first two games and went over this, but backed off in the Game 3 blowout. Banging under the rim is still a problem for him at times but I like him to stroke a few from distance to get us paid
This young OKC team got its first road game out of its system and it went better than expected. Thery have youth and speed and depth on their side and the Pels look like with BI sagging and Zion injured. Get the sense they feel a loss is inevitable and a slow start might turn this into a total blowout, Back court cant score enough to keep pace with what OKC can mister. I think SGA goes off early to set the tempo and gets to the line a ton
The Twins couldnt get a base hit - collectively - until the Pale Hose came to town last week. Now they are dropping double-digit run totals on consecutive games vs the Angels and they are suddenly above .500 and they have their best starter on the mound Monday. We might never get a return like this again, but the White Sox doubled their season win total over the weekend and I guess are hot now. Twins got to Garret Crochet last time out, he's looking like he should be back in the pens and Twins showed they can come back from deep deficits vs awful Pale Hose in the last series.
His mid-range game should serve him well in this series and we are waiting from a true breakout game for a player who is supposed to be a difference maker for Boston in this series. Can he get to the line a few more times? Isn't there a 20-point game waiting to happen? He's over this in both BOS wins in this series (but not in their ugly blowout loss) and averages 20/G on the road this season and 20/G vs Miami this season and got a ton of rest down the stretch while the Heat fought and clawed for a playoff spot, which should help the brittle Celtic big man as the series rolls on.
The Marlins are an atrocious baseball team lacking basic fundamentals, They cant throw to the right base or defend with a modicum of MLB acuity. The bullpen sucks and the lineup is poor and no lead is safe with them as the Nats proved again Sunday. Morale is way low. Nats continue to fare well vs NL teams; Marlins are 6-23. Um, yeah I am on +135