We have been dabbling in Teoscar's markets quite a bit since it becae very clear he loved Chavez Ravine as his home parl. He has 30 ABs vs lefties at home and has a .793 SLG with 4 HR (most in MLN) and 12 RBIs (2nd most). Joe Mantiply is gonna have trouble with this Dodgers lineup and righties will crush him. Will Smith is another guy to watch. Hernandez has been an RBI machine, with 22 in 27 home games and 37 on the season.

Smith is having another spectacular season and he continues to destroy left handed pitching, especially at home. In 13 games at home he's batting .500 off lefties with 2 homers and 6 driven in. He is slugging a robust .667 in those situations and he sees Joe Mantiply, tonight's starter, quite well, going 3-for-4 with a coupla RBIs vs him. I think he's good for a double or two tonight

Gavin Stone has done a really nice job for the Dodgers this season and I like him in this spot against a D-Backs team that has some issues hitting the bal. Dodgers are awesome at home and kill the ball. Arizona is 5-15 against teams that are above .500. Dodgers took two of three from Arizona in their first series and covered this in both

The Stros are inching back and their leadoff guy has actually cooled off during their climb. But I like him here. Has quality ABs vs Detmers and Detmers putting a lot of guys on base lately. He's scored 5 times in the last 7 games and with more bats going now (Tucker, Pena) I see Altuve setting the table tonight. Teams run a ton on the Angels catchers, and a stolen base could aid our cause tonight, too

Don't look now but Houston is making a push. And this should be another get-right series for them. Reid Detmers is kinda falling apart, Altuve, Pena and Tucker have hit him well and LAA lost his last 5 starts by a 39-18 margin, outscored by 2 or more in 4 of them. Detmers has allowed 26 ER in 27 2/3 IP in that span. Framber Valdez in good form for the Stros. Houston won 9 of 11, outscoring opponents by 2 or more in 7 of those games.

Sonny Gray is having a wonderful season for the Cardinals, but they can't hit a lick, their best player (Contreras) is on the IL and they are way out of their league here. BAL LH bats like Henderson and O'Hearn and Adley (when he's on the left side) are going to find plenty of gaps in this ballpark. Cards can't control the run game and Kremer looks like he finally trusts all five of his pitches. STL is 4-13 vs teams that are above .500. O' have been one of best road teams in MLB for last two years.

Wacha is becoming the weak link in the Royals rotation, with the league hitting over .400 vs his fastball and slugging .630 vs it. Pitcher cannot live by changeup alone, and Tigers got him into fastball counts a few weeks back and blasted him for 9 hits and 4 ER in 5 2/3. Reese Olson isn't anything special for the Tigers but he doesn't walk people and is pretty pitch efficient. Tigers took 2 od 3 from the Royals last month. Like the Royals, they are pretty adept at winning low scoring games. I prefer back end of Detroit bullpen.

This is the lowest total for a Nuggets game all season, and it's not close. The two games in this series that went under 205 were both total blowouts in which starters were pulled way early and Denver barely scored. Not sure that will be the case in a Game 7. MIN playoff games average 209. Nugs avg 207.5. Nugs at home avg 203. Both teams have truly elite scorers. Nuggets won't shoot that poorly again at home with a repeat at stake. Scored 112+ in 3 straight vs that tough MIN defense. Only 2 of 11 DEN playoffs games are under this and 2 of their last 27 overall. Only 2 of 10 MIN playoff games under this and 2 of last 15 overall

The Rockies are 6-18 on the road as we creep towards Memorial Day. Decent sample size. Their bad bullpen is taxed after allowing 10 and then 14 runs to a Gigantes outfit that wasn't scoring on anyone else these days. Giants send their best starter to the mound against a Colorado starter with a 6.13 ERA. Giants have been very solid at home and also have beat up on teams below .500 - their problem is they can't compete with anyone any good

The games at the Garden have featured less defense and more scoring than the ones in IND. The Knicks have played at greater pace and put up way more shots, trying to put on a show and keep up with the run-and-gun road team. Knicks defense further compromised now. Brunson can't have another stinker like in Game 6. My fear is this somehow becomes a blowout but I'm willing to take that risk. Home team has dominated this series but with NYK injuries I can't get to window on them and IND can't cover on road in this series. Thought they would be an over series going in. Game has potential to be playing in the 240s, especially if we get a hot first qtr

Seth Brown isn't having a great season and the A's are in a freefall but Brown's splits vs Brady Singer are obscene - 6-for-10 with a hat trick of HRs, a handful of teammates have hit Singer well, too, in a limited sample size and Oakland is due for a bounce back game hitting the baseball. This pronounced funk won't last forever (though neither would their hot start). I like him to do a little damage today.

One of these teams is playing with renewed confidence getting back more healthy players and taking 11 of their last 15 to get firmly back in the mix ... The other is Toronto. And they send out a starter who is perfectly capable of melting down on the mound and being shelled in an inning or two. Vegas isn't sure what to make of this but I'll say Cavale is the better starter and the Ryas keep up their run of timely hits and the Blue Jays fulfill their manifest destiny of getting another mid skipper whacked before the All Star Game; one area in which they excel. They certainly don't hit or play with any sustained fight

So he's looking like the premier power hitter in the AL once again and he loves hitting in this ballpark and his splits vs Flexen are strong and Soto seems to be bouncing back into form making this lineup even more formidable. I don't think we see this number at this value much moving forward. Residue of that slow start that I will grab

These two teams don't have much in common. The Yankees starter has been really good, the Pale Hose pen has seen plenty of usage. NYY among the hottest teams in baseball and now have Judge going, too. Not going to overthink this one.