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    Matt Severance

    Severance Pays

    Matt Severance is a well-connected writer and high-volume handicapper who has worked in the industry since 2005. After joining SportsLine, Matt quickly established himself as a top expert in multiple sports. Over the past three MLB seasons, Matt is up $2,395 for $100 bettors. Over the past two NBA seasons, Matt has returned $3,215. And over the past four college basketball seasons, Matt is up $887. He went 103-89-2 (plus $665) in the 2023 college football season and 121-93-2 (plus $589) in the 2023 NFL season. Matt believes in buying points in football to get off a push number like 3 or 7. He understands that oddsmakers don't do as much homework on lower-tier FBS games, creating betting opportunities. And he says homefield advantage is underrated in some markets and overrated in others. For Matt Severance media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.

    @jordanpaytonsn1
    LAST 159 NBA ML PICKS
    +2306
    RECORD: 107-52-0
    # 3 NBA EXPERT
    +2306
    107-52 IN LAST 159 NBA ML PICKS

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    Matt's Picks (3 Live)

    May 19 2024, 7:30 pm UTC
    League
    Indiana
    @ New York
    Matt's PickSubscribers Only
    Unit1.0
    +2306
    107-52 in Last 159 NBA ML Picks
    +1285
    48-23 in Last 71 NY ML Picks
    Analysis:

    The Knicks will have Josh Hart and OG Anunoby vs. Indiana. ...

    Pick Made: 4:52 pm UTC
    May 20 2024, 12:00 am UTC
    League
    Minnesota
    @ Denver
    Matt's PickSubscribers Only
    Unit1.0
    +2306
    107-52 in Last 159 NBA ML Picks
    +909
    25-9 in Last 34 DEN ML Picks
    Analysis:

    Are the Timberwolves capable of a Denver upset? ...

    Pick Made: 3:51 pm UTC
    May 21 2024, 1:00 am UTC
    League
    Edmonton
    @ Vancouver
    Matt's PickSubscribers Only
    Unit2.0
    +1127.5
    44-23 in Last 67 NHL ATS Picks
    +613
    8-2 in Last 10 VAN ATS Picks
    Analysis:

    The Oilers and Canucks play in Game 7 Monday. ...

    Pick Made: 6:47 pm UTC

    Matt's Past Picks

    May 19 2024, 6:35 pm UTC
    League
    L.A. Angels
    4
    @ Texas
    1
    +1917.75
    154-90-1 in Last 245 MLB Picks
    +1036.25
    62-39 in Last 101 MLB ML Picks
    +430
    21-12 in Last 33 LAA ML Picks
    Analysis:

    Feels light by about 20 cents. Both teams used their bullpens a ton last night in the 13-inning game but the Rangers I think came out much better from in that regard. And they are just better obviously. They owe us a W in a Michael Lorenzen start as he was terrific last time out but got no support.

    Pick Made: 4:19 pm UTC
    May 19 2024, 5:35 pm UTC
    League
    Chi. White Sox
    2
    @ N.Y. Yankees
    7
    +677.75
    32-9 in Last 41 MLB Player Props Picks
    Analysis:

    Could I hit big-league pitching? Heck no. I'd embarrass and probably hurt myself. But man the bottom half of that White Sox lineup today looks like the worst law firm in history: Julks, Lee, Remillard, Mendick and Maldonado. That's gold Jerry. Gold. Or whatever the polar opposite of gold is. Wouldn't let that group deal with a traffic ticket .. or you know, if somehow my $80 pants (I only wear shorts) were messed up in an accident and I found it necessary to sue/arrest someone. I still find that part so amusing. "Pants damaged beyond repair." Truly don't know who repairs pants (I know there was a shoe guy on Seinfeld's block) or who would even bother to do so.

    Pick Made: 3:20 pm UTC
    May 19 2024, 5:35 pm UTC
    League
    Chi. White Sox
    2
    @ N.Y. Yankees
    7
    +677.75
    32-9 in Last 41 MLB Player Props Picks
    Analysis:

    See my Martin Maldonado prop pick -- if he now hits a three-run homer just kill me. Truly horrific lineup for the Sox. I'm surprised this isn't 1.5.

    Pick Made: 4:05 pm UTC
    May 18 2024, 11:10 pm UTC
    League
    Oakland
    3
    @ Kansas City
    5
    +1917.75
    154-90-1 in Last 245 MLB Picks
    +1036.25
    62-39 in Last 101 MLB ML Picks
    +1317
    21-4 in Last 25 KC ML Picks
    Analysis:

    Gonna go back to pillaging with wifey out of town, but I saw this number and am like huh? The books clearly don't trust Royals starter Seth Lugo much, and I have to say I can't believe he has been this good at 6-1 with a 1.66 ERA. But until Seth proves us wrong and as long as he's not arrested entering the ballpark, which apparently we can't rule out now, I feel pretty good about this.

    Pick Made: May 18, 1:58 pm UTC
    May 18 2024, 8:05 pm UTC
    League
    Colorado
    4
    @ San Francisco
    14
    +1917.75
    154-90-1 in Last 245 MLB Picks
    +1036.25
    62-39 in Last 101 MLB ML Picks
    +564.5
    11-3 in Last 14 SF ML Picks
    Analysis:

    Came in to rehydrate and saw this. I'm flat-out telling you that I am off the Giants for the rest of the season if they lose here. Don't know about you but in every sport for whatever reason there seems to be a couple teams I can't figure out. SF is definitely one in MLB, and it's like every year at least since Buster Posey retired. Usually it rotates stay-away teams. Just not a fan of that lineup, but Colorado's is pretty garbage today sans Charlie Blackmon and Elias Diaz. Giants starter Kyle Harrison has allowed four runs over his last 23 innings.

    Pick Made: May 18, 7:32 pm UTC
    May 18 2024, 2:10 am UTC
    League
    Cincinnati
    3
    @ L.A. Dodgers
    7
    +1917.75
    154-90-1 in Last 245 MLB Picks
    +1036.25
    62-39 in Last 101 MLB ML Picks
    +2294.5
    60-22 in Last 82 LAD ML Picks
    Analysis:

    Maybe I put too much into intangibles but back in the day -- and obviously I was a million miles from a professional athlete -- I always played better angry. In high school after my math teacher told me that I was going to flunk out, I went out the next day and scored more goals than anyone in the history of the hockey team. OK, I'm excellent at math actually and that's Michael Scott but you get my drift. I believe the Dodgers will be quite perturbed tonight on a two-game skid and getting spanked in the series opener last night. Any higher and I'd have to play runline but would prefer not to. James Paxton is 2-0 with a 2.16 ERA at home.

    Pick Made: May 17, 11:44 am UTC
    May 18 2024, 12:30 am UTC
    League
    New York
    103
    @ Indiana
    116
    +2263.25
    165-103 in Last 268 NBA Picks
    +280
    6-3 in Last 9 IND ATS Picks
    Analysis:

    Who would have guessed Miles McBride might have swung this series? Like to pride myself on knowing where 95 percent of the NBA played college hoops, but I forgot about that dude at West Virginia. But then I don't think about anything West Virginia often. Probably because I had a flat tire there once driving to Florida and as soon as I heard a banjo left the car and ran. All rural bad movies start that way (it was my radio). McBride started Game 5 and gave Tyrese Haliburton fits. I'm sure Rick Carlisle has a countermove tonight but 6.5 points? That extra day off in between games (first time this series) has to help the short-handed Knicks more. Right!? Right!? Bueller!? Bueller!?

    Pick Made: May 17, 2:34 pm UTC
    May 18 2024, 12:05 am UTC
    League
    L.A. Angels
    9
    @ Texas
    3
    +1917.75
    154-90-1 in Last 245 MLB Picks
    +1036.25
    62-39 in Last 101 MLB ML Picks
    +430
    21-12 in Last 33 LAA ML Picks
    Analysis:

    No real reason to wait on this one since both are off today. The Rangers cashed for us Wednesday in a much-needed victory to snap a five-game skid and avoid falling below .500, and I think that might be a bit of a springboard to a good run. AL ROY second-favorite Evan Carter hasn't played since last weekend due to back issues but likely returns Friday. Lefty Andrew Heaney hasn't walked a batter in four straight starts and has a 2.00 ERA in May. I'll consider a Corey Seager total bases prop as he is a .391 hitter with triple and homer in 23 at-bats off Halos starter Tyler Anderson career. Anderson has a 2.92 ERA but is starting to fade.

    Pick Made: May 16, 9:15 pm UTC
    May 17 2024, 11:40 pm UTC
    League
    Oakland
    2
    @ Kansas City
    6
    +1917.75
    154-90-1 in Last 245 MLB Picks
    +1036.25
    62-39 in Last 101 MLB ML Picks
    +1317
    21-4 in Last 25 KC ML Picks
    Analysis:

    Oakland was a nice story for a while but the lack of talent has caught up to the A's as they are free-falling. And played last night in Houston, while Kansas City was off. Royals ace Cole Ragans has had two really bad starts but otherwise been fairly Cy Young worthy. I would have been NBA-worthy back in the day other than being slow and the fact it's very true: White Men Can't Jump (other than maybe Rex Chapman, Brent Barry and Bobby Sura). This feels about 25 cents light in my opinion.

    Pick Made: May 17, 3:24 pm UTC
    May 17 2024, 6:20 pm UTC
    League
    Pittsburgh
    9
    @ Chi. Cubs
    3
    +677.75
    32-9 in Last 41 MLB Player Props Picks
    Analysis:

    If it ain't broke ... don't fix it. Fade, fade, fade Chicago catchers whilst in front of the plate. I mean, yeah, Amaya could be due a ducksnort, but this is still great value. Paul Skenes might simply make Amaya retire after the first AB a la Randy Johnson/John Kruk.

    Pick Made: May 17, 4:52 pm UTC
    May 17 2024, 2:00 am UTC
    League
    Edmonton
    2
    @ Vancouver
    3
    +1127.5
    44-23 in Last 67 NHL ATS Picks
    +613
    8-2 in Last 10 VAN ATS Picks
    Analysis:

    The Oilers looked excellent in Game 4 but that was at home, a bit of desperation and with Calvin Pickard making his first start of the series in net and first-ever in the playoffs. He played really well and had spectacular numbers all year while in Edmonton. But he's a 32-year-old journeyman for a reason, and his road numbers in the regular season were quite a bit worse. And I guarantee you the Canucks put more than 21 shots on him tonight (and now they have a bit of a book on him). In addition, blueliner Carson Soucy is back from a one-game suspension. Truly don't care who wins overall, simply would like to see seven games in this really fun series.

    Pick Made: May 16, 1:10 pm UTC
    May 16 2024, 11:40 pm UTC
    League
    Pittsburgh
    5
    @ Chi. Cubs
    4
    +677.75
    32-9 in Last 41 MLB Player Props Picks
    Analysis:

    Wow, we get -115 on this with Amaya hitting .188 on the season and .143 this month? That's almost in the Martin Maldonado zone (what is it with Chicago catchers?), although Marty definitely stands alone "living in the world of suck," as former Denver Broncos receiver Emmanuel Sanders once memorably said. I think Amaya will be in there because Yan Gomes started last night in Atlanta.

    Pick Made: May 16, 1:54 pm UTC