Seth Brown isn't having a great season and the A's are in a freefall but Brown's splits vs Brady Singer are obscene - 6-for-10 with a hat trick of HRs, a handful of teammates have hit Singer well, too, in a limited sample size and Oakland is due for a bounce back game hitting the baseball. This pronounced funk won't last forever (though neither would their hot start). I like him to do a little damage today.

One of these teams is playing with renewed confidence getting back more healthy players and taking 11 of their last 15 to get firmly back in the mix ... The other is Toronto. And they send out a starter who is perfectly capable of melting down on the mound and being shelled in an inning or two. Vegas isn't sure what to make of this but I'll say Cavale is the better starter and the Ryas keep up their run of timely hits and the Blue Jays fulfill their manifest destiny of getting another mid skipper whacked before the All Star Game; one area in which they excel. They certainly don't hit or play with any sustained fight

So he's looking like the premier power hitter in the AL once again and he loves hitting in this ballpark and his splits vs Flexen are strong and Soto seems to be bouncing back into form making this lineup even more formidable. I don't think we see this number at this value much moving forward. Residue of that slow start that I will grab

These two teams don't have much in common. The Yankees starter has been really good, the Pale Hose pen has seen plenty of usage. NYY among the hottest teams in baseball and now have Judge going, too. Not going to overthink this one.

Burnes has been great for the Birds in a lot of ways, but he hasn't been providing a ton of length. Called off the dogs after 85 pitches last time out against Toronto and he struggled to get to the 7th inning. This feels like a perfect spot to shove against a struggling Seattle lineup. O's going to 6-man rotation so short in the pen. Have to ride their ace for at least 6 today and I wouldn't bet against him finishing 7 knowing he is up against another ace in George Kirby.

Luka is on a mission and even with Kyrie still too much of a facilitator/passenger and Mavs are clearly the superior team. If hey made a few foul shots in Game 4 series already over. I don't see this experienced backcourt blow a chance to close it out at home. SGA can have all the lay-ups he wants; OKC's starting lineup change kinda backfired, Mavs rotating bigs (Lively and Gafford) are a problem. Jalen Williams 41% from field in series; Dort 31%,, Giddy -5. OKC still missing one piece to win a series like this and losses at home will come back to bite them here. When Mavs beat you at home by 12 with Luka and Kyrie only totaling 43, you're in trouble.

We have been backing Royals with Lugo on bump all season, as the AL can't really seem to figure him out. He gets a faltering A's lineup here and while I think Ross Stripling is generally underrated, Sally got him twice in 7 ABs and A's pen might be running on fumes. Royals are 6-2 in Lugo's 8 starts in April/May, only losses were to teams leading division at the time (BAL and MIL) and all 6 wins by 2 runs or more. KC has +12 RD in his last 4 starts. A's in 2-11 rut, losing 9 of those games by 2+ runs. Royals are stout at home

Similar play to Fri night - Nats are fading and Gore coming off a start where the manager rode him pretty hard against a lineup that is red hot and knows him pretty well. Phils 17-8 at home and 8 of their last 10 wins are by 2 runs or more. Nats lineup lagging (I bet James Wood gets the call to MLB by Memorial Day). Nats have .594 OPS in May (worst in MLB) with a .201/.293/.301 slashline. I don't love Sanchez on the mound but figure he can battle against this group.

The Jays are not good at home (9-10) or vs above .500 teams (13-18) and they are on the brink of another in-season manager firing. Only so many meetings you can call when you never win as many games as you think you will. Lot of pressure on a group that has always cracked under pressure. Rays finding ways to win again (10 of 14), Eflin will battle and Gausman is sporting an ERA around 5. I don't buy the Jays bats. Riding Rays ML again. I smell a sweep

This signing has been the best in ball so far, and the Cubs need a win today and their bullpen stinks. I see them riding Imanaga through 7 today if at all possible and he's done it in two of his last 3 starts. Twice recently he has gone over this mark despite not throwing even 90 pitches and he's been stretched out to over 100 once this month as well. Pirates lineup has had its share of issues.

The Pirates are suddenly a little hot, but have been riding their top three starters and this ain't one of them. I have all kinds of issues with the Cubbies pen, but this starter has been as close to perfect as you get and it might take just one run over 5 innings to get us home. Some of the Cubs big bats have done damage in limited sample vs Bailey Falter. Again, if trends hold we don't need much here

The GOAT might have his best offensive season ever, he loves Dodgers Stadium (7 HR in 87 ABs, and is killing righties (1.259 OPS) and has 4 HRs off Montas in 24 career ABs. Sold.