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Reputation:99
Level:Superstar
Since:Apr 7, 2007
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Baltimore Orioles (19-19) vs. Boston Red Sox (24-17)
Jeremy Guthrie (1-3) 4.32 (1.26), 32/16 *(L3: 4.60 (1.14), 17/7)
vs.
Josh Beckett (4-2) 3.70 (.944), 42/8 *(L3: 2.45 (.863), 26/2)
Although Guthrie's WHIP is a respectable 1.26, he has a high ERA because he has given up eight home runs already this year and we're not even through May yet. Josh Beckett has been dominant especially over his last three starts. His WHIP is under one in both statlines above and seems to be back to his old self. Advantage Boston.
Daniel Cabrera (3-1), 3.54 (1.20), 34/24 *(L6: 2.29 (1.02), 27/15)
vs.
Jon Lester (2-2) 4.06 (1.50), 29/27 *(L3: 1.23 (.717), 13/8)
Lester has very good numbers over his last three starts including an eight inning performance against Toronto where he gave up only one hit. However, he was shaky in his last start. We all know how good DC has been. Boston is one of the best offenses in baseball, but of the starts during that six game span, only Seattle and KC had bad offenses. I think DC pitches well again here and gives us a good chance to split the series. Advantage Orioles.
Boston has now lost four of six as they continue to lose ground to the Rays who got seven scoreless innings from Matt Garza today and lead the Yankees 7-1 in the eighth. This looks like a textbook split for us. We finished the road trip nicely and came out of it at .500 which is nice. I think we also come out of this series at .500. Split 1-1. I hate these two game sets.
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Reputation:99
Level:Superstar
Since:Dec 29, 2006
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Good pre-lim as usual, Sess.....
Now, whoever goes to any of these two games, don't let any of those rude, crude, lewd, shrewd dudes, otherwise known as "BoSux fans", raise their signs: "Camden Yards, Fenway South".....that better not happen!
GO O's!!!
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Reputation:98
Level:Superstar
Since:Nov 1, 2006
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Well, if can somehow attack early and build a lead in the 1st game, we can achieve the goal of ray-rayz. The 2nd game should be ours.
Here's hoping we manage to take 2. That's all I'm saying. 
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Reputation:95
Level:Superstar
Since:Feb 8, 2008
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I hope that Beantown doesn't bring a higher number of fans to Camden Yards then we do, but I think that it's a distinct possibility. I'll probably be going to game 2 of the series, and I look forward to heckling the Sox fans about not winning a world series for 86 years. I
know for a fact that in a few year when the O's are a little more developed that a Boston fan will be just as uncomfortable in Camden Yards as one of us would be at Fenway. I'm not at all saying that we should start acting like our Philly counterparts, but we should give those random Sox fans from Maryland a hard time for being so fair weather.
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Reputation:99
Level:Superstar
Since:Jan 15, 2007
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I hate two game sets as well, and I'm no big fan of 4-gamers either. Needing to sweep to win sucks and so does needing to win 75% of games to win. Far too many even-numbered sets early for my tastes.
This one looks pretty cut and dry, "textbook" is a good word for it, Sessh. I'm pretty much counting on a loss in game 1 and a win in game 2. We don't score any runs for Guthrie AND Beckett is on the mound. Cabrera can beat Lester, though. Lets avoid Papelbon like the plague.
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Reputation:95
Level:Superstar
Since:Apr 19, 2008
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I agree with you guys. Look like we split. I just hope that we can manage some run production in these two games and give both Guthrie and DC a chance to win. I see us winning the second game.
3 games series are so much more exciting. Two and four gamers can leave a bad taste in your mouth.. I hate splitting the series!!
Go O'S!
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Reputation:98
Level:Superstar
Since:Aug 17, 2006
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Lets avoid Papelbon like the plague.
I don't know, Pap's been very touchable lately, maybe the league has finally caught up to him, or he is breaking down after throwing a lot harder than he is used to for two and a half years now. People have been predicting since he came up that if he stays as a closer he is going to have a shortened career because he is going to tear his own arm apart.
I can see us splitting this series, but it could also go to a sweep either way. If it weren't for Guthrie's home run problem I'd say we have a pretty good shot at the first game, but there's that and I'm sure he hasn't forgotten what happened last year, so I'm not expecting him to be very effective in this game. We've shown in the past that we can get to Beckett, but he has definitely come on strong in his last few starts, so just about everything in tonight's game is going against us. It also might depend on if Roberts plays or not. He has insane numbers against Beckett (how's a .647 OBP sound to ya). It might take playing a pitcher he does well against for him to get out of this funk.
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Reputation:99
Level:Superstar
Since:Apr 7, 2007
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That Papelbon logic doesn't sound right. Wouldn't he also tear his arm apart starting and throwing 2x-3x more innings per season then? He doesn't really throw any harder than the typical closer does.
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Reputation:98
Level:Superstar
Since:Aug 17, 2006
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I'm just repeating what I've read, and I would imagine that putting more stress on your arm would do more damage than more frequent repitition, but that's just my opinion. And most closers at least spent some time in the minors as a reliever or were weened into it at the big league level, Papelbon came up and was thrown right into it. That's why he was supposed to be a starter this year, because two seasons in a row he hurt himself doing what he's doing in the closer role. They have said that because he is throwing harder since he isn't throwing as many pitches, his shoulder comes out of socket (sort of) with almost every pitch and his elbow is torqued at a dangerous rate. This is also one of the reasons why some people are arguing that Joba Chamberlain should be in the rotation and not a reliever.
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