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SEC is top.....not top to bottom better in 08


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SEC is top.....not top to bottom better in 08
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Reputation:96
Level:Superstar
Since:Jan 9, 2007

May 15, 2008 1:33 am
That is pretty good Dawg, but then we have to go back and say that Cal is better than UGA by about 35 as well. ;-)

I will still go with Washington over Vandy next year... although Vandy had a great year last all things considered. I was actually quite impressed -- they are definitely not scrubs. Miss on the other hand (which is you actual last place team) is pretty bad and I will definitely take our last place team in Washington over them. Especially the fact that Washington won some IC games and actually beat a ranked Boise St. I cannot wait to watch UW this year. I think in the next two years they are going to be pretty damn good.


SEC is top.....not top to bottom better in 08
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Reputation:96
Level:Superstar
Since:Jan 9, 2007

May 15, 2008 1:51 am
SEC Fan --

 This is what I mean. When an SEC team comes close to beating it shows their strength. But it does not work for other conferences. Go figure. I did not say Vandy was weak. But you say not even close for Vandy and Washington. Perhaps our conference was just strong as well. Or maybe the SEC was just overrated when Vandy won. I don't know. I just think all conferences are tough to get through. You just do not seem to respect other conferences they way they should be respected.

Washington almost beat USC the year before. They almost beat Cal. They barely lost to ASU.

THis year, they beat a ranked Boise St and beat CAL

It is all good. As you said, all the different styles is what makes college football fun.

Peace.


SEC is top.....not top to bottom better in 08
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Reputation:96
Level:Superstar
Since:Jan 9, 2007

May 15, 2008 2:19 am
If an 8 game schedule in a 12 team conference is a flaw, then 3 of the BIG 6 conference schedules are flawed. Does that mean an 8 game schedule in a 10 and 11 team conference is flawed as well?

-- Of course it is. How can it not be? Are you blind with what happened in the Big 12 this year? Makes no sense man. I am not saying that the Pac 10 is the best conference, but I do think it does the best way in terms of determining a champion. Would you argue that this is not the best way? Not saying change the other conferences, just let me know if you really think the split is better than what the Pac is doing. Just answer the question.

WHat else is news. The only loser of a conference CG to make a BCS Bowl was OU and they made the BCS NC game in 03. EVERY other loser of a conference CG has missed a BCS bowl and many time fallen below teams they beat that end up in BCS Bowls. That is just the way it is. We saw that with UGA and KAN this year.

-- And they had to change the rules because of that. I always love the that is they way it is. Do you agree with it or not?

But they lost to UT and MS. you keep beating this to death, but why are good wins better than bad losses? What was the tiebreaker that got UGA in and not FLA?

-- You are the SEC Fan. You explain, because on paper I will take Florida over Georgia because of common opponent. That would be the most logical to me. Florida lost to ranked Tenn and Miss. Georgia did not play Miss and lost to ranked Florida and LSU. Tenn lost to Georiga and unranked Auburn. So Florida seems more impressive to me. Just my opinion on these matters.

What about the other teams? The PAC and SEC played the same % of D-AA teams in 06. Go back on my messages to the fall of 06 before you joined and you will see many posts showing that the SEC played a comparable OOC schedule that year when compared to the PAC. Using a sample of 3 teams is not the entire OOC schedule.

Here is Sagarin's rankings for you from 2006 (http://www.usatoday.com/sports/sagarin/fbt06.htm) notice SOS ...

SEC

Florida - 8

LSU - 20

Auburn - 23

Arkansas -- 26

Tennessee - 4

Georgia - 24

SC - 16

Kentucky - 13

Alabama -30

Vanderbilt -39

Miss - 21

Miss St. - 17

Pac 10

USC - 2

Cal - 9

OSU - 15

UCLA - 7

Oregon - 6

WSU - 10

ASU - 11

Wash - 5

AZ- 3

Stanford -1

Interesting... I will let you do the math. Why do you think the difference?

In 2007, I believe all Pac 10 teams (except USC #29( were ranked in the Top 20 SOS and even had the top 2 spots with some more in the top 10.

I cannot wait to see how you negate these rankings. Man, give us some love.

Peace.


SEC is top.....not top to bottom better in 08
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Reputation:93
Level:All-Star
Since:Mar 10, 2008

May 15, 2008 3:51 am
The big 12 is so overrated. Kansas State paid 250,000 to get out of playing Fresno State in Kansas. What the hell, Thats right they got a beat down last year. At least the replaced it with a division 2a school might be a little closer of a game.

Texas A&M needed 2 or three OT's to beat Fresno State on their home turf.

It is sad the number 2 conference in the country you say may be 2 there mid teams have trouble with the second tier of the WAC. The bottom feeders of the SEC clean up on the lesser conferences

Fresno State was not even in the top two of the $%^%$% WAC

So how tough is Nebraska, Baylor, A&M, Kansas State, Colorado(rape U)Texas Tech kills the sorry ass teams by passing till the end of days however how they fare against Tex, Oklahoma .  Missouri and Kansas have not done $%^%$# for years so lets see if its a fluke of beating sucky teams and division 2a schools.


I love my FSU( Fresno State ) but I know they can on a good day hang with the big boys

SEC is top.....not top to bottom better in 08
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Reputation:99
Level:Superstar
Since:Jan 4, 2008

May 15, 2008 8:11 am
Rookie, interesting you chose Saragin for 2006, is that because it showed the biggest bias? Every other SOS for that year that I have seen had Florida ranked 1.

SEC is top.....not top to bottom better in 08
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Reputation:98
Level:Superstar
Since:Nov 21, 2006

May 15, 2008 8:21 am

rcooke,

Another of the old threads huh?  Ok quickly because I gotta go.  First Jeff Sagarin bases his Strength of Schedule after his ratings.

Three quick examples of his product:

2001.....Nebraska #3 and Colorado #5....One Day after Colorado wins 62-24 to capture Big 12 North

2006....OSU and Michigan #1 and #2.....LMAO, still

2007...Va. Tech#1 and LSU #2...Teams have IDENTICAL Records.  LSU wins 48-7.

Now if you trust these SOS please be my guest.  And by the way, there are MANY MANY more examples of Sagarin's prowess.


SEC is top.....not top to bottom better in 08
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Reputation:99
Level:Superstar
Since:Sep 18, 2006

May 15, 2008 8:51 am
  This is what I mean. When an SEC team comes close to beating it shows their strength. But it does not work for other conferences. Go figure. I did not say Vandy was weak. But you say not even close for Vandy and Washington.

I did?  I was responding to your question:

Would you say Vandy is better than Washington?

I was not trying to make the case that VANDY was strong and other like teams in other conferences were not.  Read the post.  I was answering Todd's question concerning "respect'" and Vanderbilt.  My answer had everything to do with VANDY and nothing to do with any other teams or conferences.

Once again please do not read into my posts something that I was not addressing just because you changed the subject to ask about WASH.  That was not the topic and I chose not to even go there and finished my post with the following comment:

Not even going to speculate as to if they are better than WASH,  but I would say "on any given SAT", who knows?

I am sorry you asked a question that had nothing to do with the topic, but my answer had nothing to do with extending the same consideration to teams like WASH.  I think you know me well enough to know that if I answered that question, I would use examples, facts, figures and outcomes of games to answer the question. 

Have you not read my posts to Todd?  Why in the world would I make a blanket statement on any subject without backing it up?  Would be pretty hypocritical on my part, especially since I have been giving Todd down the road for doing that very thing. 

My answer to you had everything to do with VANDY and respect.  I finished the post with the above answer, which I think is very true.  Vandy has in the past few years found a way to hang with and in some cases beat some very good teams.  That doesnt mean they are a good team.  They dont have a killer instinct,  have not learned how to win games by putting teams away  and are probably the worlds best at snatching  defeat from the jaws of victory.   On any give Saturday is the best way to describe VANDY.  Until they get over the hump and start to win some of the close games they normally lose, you will never see me be a believer.  That, however has nothing to do with respect.  BD said it best.


Vandy is not great.  I have yet to hear anyone suggest that they are.  But they are not the c***** team they were prior to the last 4 years.  They have seldom been out of a game and they have played some d*** good teams down to the wire.  Does that make them a threat to win the SEC East?  No, but it also means that no one can afford to take them lightly.

Works for me.

SEC is top.....not top to bottom better in 08
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Reputation:99
Level:Superstar
Since:Sep 18, 2006

May 15, 2008 9:26 am
Not saying change the other conferences, just let me know if you really think the split is better than what the Pac is doing. Just answer the question.

cooke, you sure havent read many of my posts.  For the record a round robin schedule covers every match-up and is complete.  Nothing is missed and every game is played. 

Not true in the 3 division conferences or the BIG 10.   There is a reason the BIG 10 has landed more teams in BCS Bowls than any other conference.  There is a reason LSU and UGA were 1 and 2 this year.  There is a reason the BIG 12 had 4 teams ranked in the top 10 this year.  Scheduling, plain and simple.  Does that answer the question?

-- And they had to change the rules because of that. I always love the that is they way it is. Do you agree with it or not?

They did NOT change the rules, they changed the formula.  A non-conference champ CAN still make the BCS NC game, but with the changes to the formula, giving the voters the power, they have weighed in and said "not going to happen."  Can you say MICH in 06 and UGA and KAN this year.  It isnt going to happen.


So Florida seems more impressive to me. Just my opinion on these matters.

Ok, once again we know what you think, but that is not how it came out.  I asked you what the tiebreaker was that got UGA in and it appears it came down to the highest ranked team.  Given the fact that FLA lost to both FLA ST and MIA that year, they would be the first one eliminated.  UT lost to UGA and AUB, so it is easy to see why they were ranked below UGA.  it happens,  The tiebreaker went to UGA.

ILL lost to MICH this year, finished with the same conference record but is shown as the BIG 10 runner-up.  OOC games come into play to break ties.  The OSU went to the BCS NC game in 02, even though IOWA also finished the year undefeated in the BIG 10.  Trouble was, IOWA lost to IOWA ST. that year and the OSU went to the BCS NC game.  It happens.

Interesting... I will let you do the math. Why do you think the difference?

Using Sagarin's SOS ranking to make the point that the PAC played a better OOC schedule is comparing apples to oranges, now isnt it.  The PAC teams are ranked so high because of the 9th conference game.  That helps their SOS dramatically.  That does not mean they played a strong OOC schedule.  It means they had 3 OOC games, not 4 or more like the other conferences.  The other conferences played their share of cupcakes, and had more OOC games to fill on their schedules.  A closer examination would show the PAC, even with having to dig up 1 less OOC game, 30 compared to 48 for the SEC, ACC, and BIG 12, still played the same % of DAA teams as the SEC that year.  18 fewer OOC games to come up with and that is the best they could do?

In 2007, I believe all Pac 10 teams (except USC #29( were ranked in the Top 20 SOS and even had the top 2 spots with some more in the top 10.

I cannot wait to see how you negate these rankings. Man, give us some love.


How did I do?  Do you now understand that the 9th conference game and 18 fewer OOC games to schedule makes this possible, especially when you use Sagarin as your source.  Go to the NCAA website, or CBS's and look at their ranking.  They will show a different result.  Go figure.

Once again the SOS ranking measures the entire schedule, not just the OOC schedule strength.  Big Difference.

SEC is top.....not top to bottom better in 08
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Reputation:99
Level:Superstar
Since:Sep 9, 2006

May 15, 2008 11:55 am

It may have taken 4 pages to articulate why you think they are equal, but had you done so, i doubt this thread would be 28 pages long by now.  I didnt even respond to you in the first place but to PC responding to 0607 and his response to you. 

Thanks for taking the time to explain why you think they are equal.  Had you done so in the beginning I would not have typed the first word. 

You didnt have to do so, but as I said previously, I would not have jumped in if you had done so, and who knows, i might have even agreed with you. Bottom line is a great deal of back and forth could have been avoided had you done so earlier and now that you have done so, i will be out of here.  Thanks for doing so now.  i appreciate it.

Did he do it private message?  If so, Todd, could you post your reasons?

SEC is top.....not top to bottom better in 08
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Reputation:99
Level:Superstar
Since:Sep 18, 2006

May 15, 2008 12:04 pm
He did so with regards to S. CAR and IND.

Page 28, 5/15/08 12:32 AM post

SEC is top.....not top to bottom better in 08
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Reputation:96
Level:Superstar
Since:Jan 9, 2007

May 15, 2008 12:40 pm
SEC Fan --

"Using Sagarin's SOS ranking to make the point that the PAC played a better OOC schedule is comparing apples to oranges, now isnt it. The PAC teams are ranked so high because of the 9th conference game. That helps their SOS dramatically. That does not mean they played a strong OOC schedule. It means they had 3 OOC games, not 4 or more like the other conferences. The other conferences played their share of cupcakes, and had more OOC games to fill on their schedules. A closer examination would show the PAC, even with having to dig up 1 less OOC game, 30 compared to 48 for the SEC, ACC, and BIG 12, still played the same % of DAA teams as the SEC that year. 18 fewer OOC games to come up with and that is the best they could do?"

1. The NCAA uses the winning% of opponents for SOS. Does not take into account the strength of the conference. Go see below what teams you guys played. Tell me if you think that is fair.

2. The Pac 10 is ranked higher because of a 9th game... you hit it on the spot. It is a tougher schedule to actually have to play your whole conference. Go figure.

3. For our OOC schedule... we primarily played the MWC, The Big 12, WAC and even the SEC to an extent that year.

  SEC played primarily the Sunbelt Conf, Conf USA, Mid America (I did not add Pac 10 because you have 12 teams where Pac had 10 and less OOC games)

  -- Are you seriously trying to compare that?

  You have more opportunities to schedule tougher opponents.

  We played with less teams and less OOC games... 12 BCS opponents.

  The SEC with more teams and more OOC games ... 13 BCS opponents (incl. Miss St and Miss St)

So what you are trying to tell me is that regardless of opponents... all that ultimately matters is wins or loss vs the opponents according to your view.

Let me know what you think...

"SOS" for Florida and the team opponents

Southern Miss 9-5

UCF 4-8

Tenn 9-4 (5-3) Cal, AF, Marshall, Memphis

Ken 8-5 (4-4) Louisville, Texas St, Central Mich, LA Monroe

Alabama 6-7 (6-7) Hawaii, La Monroe, Duke, Fl Int.

LSU 11-2 (6-2) La Laf, Arizona, Tulane, Fresno St

Auburn 11-2 (6-2) Wash St, Tulane, Buffalo, Ark St

Georgia 9-4 (4-4) W. Kentucky, UAB, Colorado, Ga Tech

Vandy 4-8 (1-7) Michigan, Tenn St, Temple and Duke

SC 8-5 (3-5) Wofford, Fl Atl, Midd Tenn, Clemson

West Carolina 1-10

Florida St (7-6)

Arkansas 10-4 (7-1) USC, Utah St, SE Miss St, LA Monroe

A majority of your OOC games were vs the Sun Belt, Conf USA and Mid America

Is it quite possible that Florida got the benefit of all of the SEC teams playing weak opponents in 2006 and not having to all play each other? In addition, you played an overwhelming amount of those games at home. When you play 8 of 11 conference opponents kind of skews winning% depending on your draw or schedule. Is that fair to say?

USC schedule

Arkansas 10-4 (SEC W Champs)

Nebraska 9-5 (Big N champs)

Arizona 6-6 (4-5) BYU, LSU, Stephen Austin

Washington 5-7 (3-6) San Jose St, Oklahoma, Fresno St

Washington St 6-6 (4-5) Auburn, Idaho St, Baylor

ASU 7-6 (4-5) N Ar, Nevada, Colorado

OSU 10-4 (6-3) Eastern Wash, Idaho, Boise St

Stanford 1-11 (1-8) San Jose St, Navy, Notre Dame

Oregon 7-6 (4-5) Fresno, Oklahoma, Portland St

Cal 10-3 (7-2) Tenn, Minn, Portland State

Notre Dame 10-3

UCLA 6-7 (5-4) Utah, Rice, Notre Dame

A majority of our OOC games were MWC, WAC, Big 12 and even the SEC to an extent and even ranked Notre Dame

"How did I do? Do you now understand that the 9th conference game and 18 fewer OOC games to schedule makes this possible, especially when you use Sagarin as your source. Go to the NCAA website, or CBS's and look at their ranking. They will show a different result. Go figure.

Once again the SOS ranking measures the entire schedule, not just the OOC schedule strength. Big Difference."

-- How about just showing you the OOC schedule as I did and the conferences from which they came. How would you rank the conferences out of the BCS? Does that help?

-- NCAA uses winning % of opponent and does not take into account strength of conference. Pretty easy to skew that ranking.

In the end it is all good. I enjoy the conversation. I am biased about how the Pac 10 does things. I think it is a much better system and I applaud them for going on the road more and playing what I think are more difficult OOC games. I don't think anyone (other than Washington) are really going to schedule all top 25 teams. I get it. BUT Once again... it is just my opinion that the Pac 10 does it better than anyone else. Ultimately, money is at stake for a lot of teams and more importantly a shot a national title.. so I get it. Which makes it more impressive that my boys are playing OSU this year and that ASU is playing GA. Cannot wait.

Good stuff as always SEC Fan. I was looking at the NCAA stuff and I am not even going to go the Big 10 or Big 12 argument.

Peace.


SEC is top.....not top to bottom better in 08
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Reputation:96
Level:Superstar
Since:Jan 9, 2007

May 15, 2008 12:44 pm
BD --

By your examples... does it not mean that Nebraska had the tougher SOS because it lost to Colorado. Ditto Va Tech. Don't know about OSU and Michigan. They were that close? LOl.

Also... I tried looking at other sites and a lot of them use just SOS by winning % of opponents played. Do you trust that more. Give me a site if you have one that you feel does a better job.

Peace.