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Reputation:99
Level:Superstar
Since:Aug 4, 2007
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How many teams will the Pac-10 get in?
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Reputation:99
Level:Superstar
Since:Aug 4, 2007
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Here are the resumes of the 3 Pac-10 bubble teams.
Arizona State
D-I record: 19-12
Conference record: 9-10
RPI: 83
SOS: 88
Last 12: 5-7
Road/neutral: 6-8
Record against top 25: 2-3
Record against top 50: 5-7
Record against top 100: 7-10
Good wins: Xavier, Arizona, Southern Cal, at Arizona, Stanford
Good losses: UCLA, at UCLA, at USC, at USC (conference tournament), Washington State, at Washington State, at Stanford
Bad losses: Illinois (Hawaii), at Nebraska, Washington
Oregon
D-I record: 18-13
Conference record: 9-10
RPI: 58
SOS: 30
Last 12: 6-6
Road/neutral: 6-10
Record against top 25: 1-3
Record against top 50: 4-9
Record against top 100: 8-11
Good wins: at Kansas State, at Arizona, Stanford, Arizona State, Arizona
Good losses: at St. Mary's, at Arizona State, at Washington State, UCLA, Southern Cal, at Stanford, Washington State, at Southern Cal, at UCLA, Washington State (conference tournament)
Bad losses: at Nebraska, at Oakland, at Washington
Arizona
D-I record: 18-14
Conference record: 9-11
RPI: 38
SOS: 2
Last 12: 4-8
Road/neutral: 8-8
Record against top 25: 0-7
Record against top 50: 5-8
Record against top 100: 10-12
Good wins: Texas A&M, at UNLV, at Houston, Washington State, at Southern California, at Washington State
Good losses: at Kansas, at Memphis, Oregon, at Arizona State, at Stanford, at UCLA, Stanford, Southern California, UCLA, at Oregon, Stanford (conference tournament)
Bad losses: Virginia, at Washington
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Reputation:93
Level:All-Star
Since:Aug 19, 2006
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You forgot to add Cal St.-Fullerton as a quality win for Arizona.
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Reputation:93
Level:All-Star
Since:Aug 19, 2006
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The people voting 4 don't know anything about college basketball.
If a D2 team can beat UK and they can still make the tournament in the SEC. Then there should be at least 6th in and the 7th on the bubble. Also, USC and Washington have road wins against SEC teams in LSU and South Carolina.
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Reputation:99
Level:Superstar
Since:Aug 4, 2007
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Honestly, I will not be surprised at all if 4 teams get in. I have heard analysts say that the Pac will get 7 teams in.
What I think: 5 teams in
Arizona- in: The Wildcats are living on the edge right now. Now that Washington State has dropped out of the top 25 in the RPI, they now have no top 25 wins. They have a very good record when they are fully healthy, but good teams overcome injuries, and Arizona has not. They are also 4-8 in their last 12 games. Their SOS really is what puts them ahead of most other bubble teams, but I won't be surprised if they get left out.
Arizona State- out: I admit it, the Sun Devils will be headed to the postseason, but not the NCAA Tournament. The RPI and SOS are both in the mid-80's and both went down this morning despite not playing. They have a very good collection of wins, but the poor conference record and finish along with the RPI and SOS will prevent them from getting in.
Oregon- out: Oregon is too inconsistent of a team to get in. They finished the regular season on a 3-game winning streak, but they could not win a game in the conference tournament. They .500 conference record will hurt, and their bad losses, most notably Oakland, will ultimately bring them down.
What I think the committee will do: 6 teams in
Arizona- in
Arizona State- in
Oregon- out
Keep in mind that no Pac-10 has ever gotten into the NCAA Tournament with a .500 conference record or worse, and there could be 3 teams with those credentials this year.
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Level:Amateur
Since:Mar 15, 2008
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Oregon- out: Oregon is too inconsistent of a team to get in. They finished the regular season on a 3-game winning streak, but they could not win a game in the conference tournament. They .500 conference record will hurt, and their bad losses, most notably Oakland, will ultimately bring them down.
What happend to the last twelve games? Of the three, Oregon has the best record in the last 12 games and head to head...wins vs both ASU and Arizona.
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Reputation:98
Level:Superstar
Since:Oct 2, 2006
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As tough as the conference has been this year, I would love to see them get in. But looking at their records, the thing that stands out glaring to me is this: They did not take care of business outside the conference.
Slammy
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Reputation:94
Level:All-Star
Since:Nov 10, 2006
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should be 6, if there is only 4 the NCAA's will be a joke this year, there will 9 teams out of the pac-10 playing in post season play and you cant tell me if a conference has 90% worthy of post season only 4 teams should get a shot at the NC? and everyone is consensus on Arizona right? well ASU is a lock, their SOS and RPI isnt so hot, but they wont the games against those crappy teams right, then have better wins than Arizona, are you really going to not allow a team cause they are a year ahead of schedule? they did expose the most overrated team in the nation as well...but also if Arizona (pac-10 no. 7) gets in how can you leave out the number 6 team who has more quality wins
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Reputation:97
Level:Superstar
Since:Dec 31, 2006
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