Michigan State and Ohio State have stayed Under in their last two meetings, but I don't see bad weather in the forecast this time. I can't lay the points with the Buckeyes, but I do see a game played with real purpose following the humiliating loss at Iowa last week. The Buckeyes have gone Over the total in their last six, and I like the Over here too.

The Buckeyes got embarrassed last week at Iowa while the Spartans surprised Penn State, deflating the value of OSU while inflating it for MSU. Ohio State covers the spread a big 64 percent of the time in my simulations.