loading...
League Logo
NBA
League Logo
NBA
League Logo
MLB
League Logo
NHL
League Logo
NFL
All
    loading...
    Avatar
    Avatar

    Matt Severance

    Severance Pays

    Matt Severance is a well-connected writer and high-volume handicapper who has worked in the industry since 2005. After joining SportsLine, Matt quickly established himself as a top expert in multiple sports. Over the past three MLB seasons, Matt is up $2,395 for $100 bettors. Over the past two NBA seasons, Matt has returned $3,215. And over the past four college basketball seasons, Matt is up $887. He went 103-89-2 (plus $665) in the 2023 college football season and 121-93-2 (plus $589) in the 2023 NFL season. Matt believes in buying points in football to get off a push number like 3 or 7. He understands that oddsmakers don't do as much homework on lower-tier FBS games, creating betting opportunities. And he says homefield advantage is underrated in some markets and overrated in others. For Matt Severance media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.

    @jordanpaytonsn1
    LAST 266 NBA PICKS
    +2400.25
    RECORD: 165-101-0
    # 3 NBA EXPERT
    +2400.25
    165-101 IN LAST 266 NBA PICKS

    Get Access To
    ALL PICKS FROM Matt & THE REST OF OUR EXPERTS

    Get Today's Winners Here
    All

    Matt's Picks (2 Live)

    May 13 2024, 11:00 pm UTC
    League
    Carolina
    @ N.Y. Rangers
    Matt's PickSubscribers Only
    Unit2.0
    +1257.5
    42-22 in Last 64 NHL ATS Picks
    +25
    2-1 in Last 3 CAR ATS Picks
    Analysis:

    The Rangers can finish off the Hurricanes on Monday. ...

    Pick Made: Sun 8:50 pm UTC
    May 13 2024, 11:40 pm UTC
    League
    Pittsburgh
    @ Milwaukee
    Matt's PickSubscribers Only
    Unit0.5
    +1993.25
    143-79-1 in Last 223 MLB Picks
    +1084.25
    56-32 in Last 88 MLB ML Picks
    +581.5
    43-25 in Last 68 PIT ML Picks
    Analysis:

    The Pirates open a series in Milwaukee on Monday. ...

    Pick Made: Sun 11:35 pm UTC

    Matt's Past Picks

    May 13 2024, 1:30 am UTC
    League
    Vancouver
    4
    @ Edmonton
    3
    +163
    14-5 in Last 19 EDM ML Picks
    Analysis:

    This series reminds me why I started liking hockey as a kid. Dudes flying around and scoring plenty of goals. Really an entertaining first two games. Thought maybe the Canucks would go back to Casey DeSmith in net after Arturs Silovs allowed four goals in each of the first two, but Silovs is in there again. Counterpart Stuart Skinner hasn't been any better in this series but had significantly better home numbers during the regular season.

    Pick Made: Sun 10:11 pm UTC
    May 13 2024, 12:00 am UTC
    League
    Denver
    115
    @ Minnesota
    107
    +2400.25
    165-101 in Last 266 NBA Picks
    +2306
    107-52 in Last 159 NBA ML Picks
    +909
    25-9 in Last 34 DEN ML Picks
    Analysis:

    Can't say I was too surprised the Nuggets showed championship mettle in a must-win Game 3, but Nikola Jokic still is not shooting that great in the series, at least by his super-high standards. Minnesota's defense has been about six points better at home in these playoffs and I don't see the Wolves bricking 23 3-pointers again.

    Pick Made: Sun 10:17 pm UTC
    May 12 2024, 8:10 pm UTC
    League
    L.A. Dodgers
    0
    @ San Diego
    4
    +1993.25
    143-79-1 in Last 223 MLB Picks
    +695
    42-26 in Last 68 LAD ATS Picks
    Analysis:

    It does not sound like Shohei Ohtani will play today due to some back issues. I thought he might struggle a little with the new team, league, etc., but has been amazing. Hey, it helps to focus when your BFF isn't siphoning millions of dollars from your bank account. Who doesn't notice that? Something fishy there. In college, if my buddies didn't pay me back the $2 I lent them for some Mad Dog 20/20, I'd go breaking kneecaps Sopranos-style. $16 million?!? Then again, that might be $2 to Ohtani.

    Pick Made: Sun 2:55 pm UTC
    May 12 2024, 8:10 pm UTC
    League
    Oakland
    4
    @ Seattle
    8
    +1993.25
    143-79-1 in Last 223 MLB Picks
    +1084.25
    56-32 in Last 88 MLB ML Picks
    +761
    10-1 in Last 11 OAK ML Picks
    Analysis:

    Feeling a little burned by Seattle yesterday but am gonna try this instead of the runline behind Luis Castillo. A 1-0 win wouldn't surprise is my point, and I'm just not feeling the first five love. Almost never will play a pitcher Under 1.5 earned runs, either, although I certainly hope that's the case today for Castillo (don't like O/U 18.5 outs, either). A couple of Oakland regulars are taking a seat in the getaway game, although it's the A's so not like you'd notice that much.

    Pick Made: Sun 7:10 pm UTC
    May 12 2024, 7:30 pm UTC
    League
    New York
    89
    @ Indiana
    121
    +2400.25
    165-101 in Last 266 NBA Picks
    +2306
    107-52 in Last 159 NBA ML Picks
    +1285
    48-23 in Last 71 NY ML Picks
    Analysis:

    I don't know what's going on in the NBA of late to be honest. This is a big number, but there are ways of manipulating it. I would be surprised if the Knicks won as I still think Thibs playing his key guys so many dang minutes is gonna matter at some point. I'm honestly half surprised that Josh Hart isn't Captain Dan in a wheelchair by now ("you ain't go no legs!"). Dude never comes off the court. I miss feeling invincible in my late 20s ... shoot, I'd take late 30s.

    Pick Made: Sun 2:27 pm UTC
    May 12 2024, 6:10 pm UTC
    League
    St. Louis
    4
    @ Milwaukee
    3
    +1993.25
    143-79-1 in Last 223 MLB Picks
    +698.25
    19-5-1 in Last 25 MLB O/U Picks
    +450
    8-0 in Last 8 STL O/U Picks
    Analysis:

    Happy Mother's Day! Parents can be a pain but cherish them, man, they can be gone in a second. Miss my Dad like crazy. If you don't see any picks from me for a few days, it's because my Mom wants me to cook for her this evening and all I know how to make are tacos, ramen, popcorn and Beefaroni (not necessarily in that order) and none of that is on the menu. So I've either been arrested for involuntary manslaughter or we are all in the hospital. Hey, I warned her this isn't my jam. I will buy up to 9.5 here but I'm cautious that way. And I don't like pushes. Or cooking. Or Exorcist-like vomiting. It's all on the table.

    Pick Made: Sun 2:04 pm UTC
    May 12 2024, 2:00 am UTC
    League
    Dallas
    4
    @ Colorado
    1
    +505
    10-2 in Last 12 COL ML Picks
    Analysis:

    Such a massive home-ice advantage in Denver and we would see history if Valeri Nichushkin scores again for the Avs. His playoff-opening goal streak stands at seven games, sharing the longest such run in NHL history with Pat LaFontaine. I used to love PLF for some reason back in the day (great last name for sure. LaFontaine! Pat LaFontaine! Shaken not stirred. Does sound like a French James Bond). Wasn't an Islanders fan really but liked their jerseys. No Blackhawks or North Stars (not current Stars at all) or Maple Leafs or Whalers (those were epic), but they were pretty good. Then for a while they changed to that stupid Gorton's fisherman one.

    Pick Made: May 11, 5:03 pm UTC
    May 12 2024, 1:40 am UTC
    League
    Oakland
    8
    @ Seattle
    1
    Analysis:

    I don't love giving away a half run regarding that Seattle offense but I really want to fade Oakland pitcher Joey Estes. Moneyline to win and outright first five were too pricy so we roll with this. Estes had a 6.04 ERA in Triple-A this year. He made his MLB debut with the A's last year, started two games in September and allowed nine runs on 12 hits over 10 innings. Joey Chestnut might fare better. How are the best competitive eaters so thin?! Well, I think we know why. See Stand By Me ...

    Pick Made: May 11, 5:51 pm UTC
    May 12 2024, 12:30 am UTC
    League
    Boston
    106
    @ Cleveland
    93
    +2400.25
    165-101 in Last 266 NBA Picks
    +140
    4-3 in Last 7 NBA ATS Picks
    +216.5
    7-5 in Last 12 BOS ATS Picks
    Analysis:

    Maybe we get lucky and Jarrett Allen returns, although I'm not exactly counting on that. Even not, I think at home the Cavs are more than capable of staying inside this number, although in a way I'd prefer they were coming off a second straight loss in the series instead of the stunning victory in Boston.

    Pick Made: May 11, 3:53 pm UTC
    May 11 2024, 11:00 pm UTC
    League
    N.Y. Rangers
    3
    @ Carolina
    4
    +1988
    51-23 in Last 74 CAR ML Picks
    Analysis:

    Find it tough to fathom a team this good would get swept, and that's really all this is. But there's nothing you can rely on in playoff hockey.

    Pick Made: May 11, 3:56 pm UTC
    May 11 2024, 8:10 pm UTC
    League
    Philadelphia
    8
    @ Miami
    3
    +1993.25
    143-79-1 in Last 223 MLB Picks
    +633.5
    38-22 in Last 60 PHI ATS Picks
    Analysis:

    Obviously the Marlins are hot garbage but that Phillies lineup is a bit watered down without Trea Turner and now Kyle Schwarber. Maybe some of the fellas have a bit of South Beach flu, too, after Friday's win. Miami pitcher Jesus Luzardo generally can't be trusted on the road but at home is usually a different guy. He was 2-0 with a 3.72 ERA last season overall vs. Philadelphia.

    Pick Made: May 11, 5:37 pm UTC
    May 11 2024, 8:05 pm UTC
    League
    Chi. Cubs
    9
    @ Pittsburgh
    10
    +1993.25
    143-79-1 in Last 223 MLB Picks
    +1084.25
    56-32 in Last 88 MLB ML Picks
    +1769
    69-36 in Last 105 CHC ML Picks
    Analysis:

    Think we have to fade Livvy Dunne's BF (so bothered I know this), otherwise known as Paul Skenes, for now because we may not be able to much longer as that dude is gonna be awesome if he stays healthy. Think prime Stephen Strasburg. It's the big righty's MLB debut. Skenes topped 4.1 innings just once this season in the minors (never more than 75 pitches) as the team will obviously be careful with its potential future Cy Young winner. So I think the Cubs can get to that Pittsburgh bullpen if need be. And it's not like Justin Steele is some clown, either. Seiya Suzuki is off the injured list.

    Pick Made: May 11, 4:40 pm UTC
    May 11 2024, 8:05 pm UTC
    League
    Arizona
    4
    @ Baltimore
    5
    +1993.25
    143-79-1 in Last 223 MLB Picks
    +1084.25
    56-32 in Last 88 MLB ML Picks
    +1829.5
    48-19 in Last 67 BAL ML Picks
    Analysis:

    I almost forgot that John Means was like alive as he has pitched so rarely the past few years due to injury. His 2024 debut last weekend was spectacular with seven shutout innings in Cincinnati. If he's that guy, the Orioles might be World Series bound as their only real question is the rotation. Snakes pitcher Ryne Nelson (2-2, 5.23) is nothing special.

    Pick Made: May 11, 3:37 pm UTC