Mariners starter George Kirby dealt with a knee issue earlier this month and has thrown 88 and 70 pitches in two May starts. He struck out three and four batters in those outings. Now he faces a Royals lineup that strikes out at the second-lowest rate and has the fifth-lowest chase percentage. Look for an effective outing from Kirby, but for him to stay Under six strikeouts.

A close game is expected in Dallas on Monday, which should mean at least 40 minutes for Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. SGA has cleared this combo prop in all three games in this series, and an offensive bounceback from OKC could help his assist total.

Braves starter Bryce Elder has only been lit up in one of three starts -- last time out vs. the Dodgers -- but he's given up a ton of hard contact (46.9 percent). Look for the Mets, held to three runs in this series, to bust out offensively against Elder.

Derrick White has arguably been Boston's top player this postseason, though he's coming off a terrible Game 2. I like White to bounce back and be more aggressive attacking the basket, in addition to locating his 3-point touch. With Kristaps Porzingis out, White is taking the third-most shots while averaging 34 minutes played in the playoffs.

San Fran shouldn't be this big of a home underdog to a Reds team that just snapped an eight-game skid. Nick Lodolo has given up an alarming amount of hard contact the past two starts. Rookie Mason Black, facing a scuffling Cincy offense, has a chance to dominate in his first home start.

Sonny Gray fanned 12 Brewers on April 21, and I like him to record at least seven strikeouts Thursday in Milwaukee. The Brewers are striking out at the seventh-highest rate. Gray has gone six-plus innings in four straight starts.

Donovan Mitchell had 12 potential assists in Game 1, but finished with just five assists. Mitchell's Cleveland teammates should shoot better in Game 2 and help Mitchell clear this prop total. Mitchell continues to draw massive defensive attention and is averaging 5.5 assists in the Cavs' four playoff losses.

Twins starter Chris Paddack has allowed four runs over his last three starts, pitching an average of six innings. Against righties, the Mariners strike out an MLB-high 29 percent of the time. Seattle is the only team striking out more than 10 times per game. Back Paddack to fan at least six for the third time in four games.

Rookie Dereck Lively II is in for.a bigger role this series after he played well vs. the Clippers (8.8 ppg, 6.9 rpg in 20.3 mpg). Maxi Kleber dislocated his shoulder, so another Mavericks big man has to step up. Top candidates are Daniel Gafford and Lively, and I'm betting it's Lively. The 7-1, 230-pounder earned 24.5 minutes per game over the last two against the Clippers, registering nine and seven rebounds. He's 8 for 8 from the floor in that span. Look for Jason Kidd to give Lively at least 25 minutes.

St. Louis has scored three or fewer runs in six of its last eight games. For the season, the Cards rank 26th in wRC+ and 28th in OPS (.625). St. Louis starter Miles Mikolas, 35, is posting career-worst numbers in a lot of metrics, including allowing a 45.2 hard-hit percentage. Look for the Mets to get a strong start from Jose Butto -- he's allowed two or fewer runs in four of his five starts -- and notch their second straight win in the series.

Boston's Kutter Crawford faces a struggling Braves team with the eighth-highest strikeout percentage vs. right-handed pitching. Crawford has cleared this prop total in all but one start this season. Last time out, Crawford went seven innings against the Giants, fanning six. He's gone at least six innings in three straight starts. Look for the Braves to chase some bad pitches and strike out at least five times.

There are still 8.5s in the market in the -140 range, which I'd recommend. But I'll still go Over 9.5 at plus-money for Mike Conley. He had 10 assists and four rebounds in Game 1 -- the fourth time in five playoff games he's cleared this prop total. He's also played 31 or more minutes in four straight. This is the 36-year-old Conley's best chance ever for a ring, and he's playing like it.

Jamal Murray (calf strain) is questionable but fully expected to play. It's a quick turnaround after Game 1, when he went scoreless in the first half but finished with 17 points. Murray played just 34 minutes -- five fewer than in any game this postseason. That's likely a result of his lingering injury. Murray could very well hit the game-winning jumper to tie the series, that's how good he is in clutch situations, but against this elite Minnesota defense I like him to stay Under 23 points.